Monday, December 22, 2025

Credit Bureau Asia - 22 Dec 2025

Stock: Credit Bureau Asia Limited
Ticker: SGX: TCU
Timeframe: Daily (1D)
Date Range: ~Apr 2025 – 19 Dec 2025
Approx. Bars: ~170–180 daily bars
Last Traded Price: 1.27

1. Market Regime Classification (Lead)

Transition → Late Distribution → Early Stabilisation

Prior range / distribution from ~1.32–1.40
Clear structural breakdown into lower highs
Recent bars show selling pressure slowing, but no confirmed trend reversal yet

2. Market Structure & Order Flow Analysis

Macro Structure

Swing Highs (SH):
- ~1.40 (May)
- ~1.42 (Aug, Sep – equal highs → distribution)
- ~1.39 (Oct – lower high)
Swing Lows (SL):
- ~1.27–1.28 (Jun / Jul)
- ~1.28 (Aug)
- 1.24 (Nov – decisive breakdown)

➡️ Structure transitioned from range-bound → lower highs + lower lows
➡️ Bearish BOS confirmed in early Nov when 1.28 support failed.

CHoCH Assessment

Current price (~1.27) is attempting to reclaim prior broken support
No bullish CHoCH yet — price still below last lower high (~1.33)

3. Volume–Price Relationship (VPR)

Key Observations

Nov sell-off:
- High volume + wide-range down bar → institutional distribution / forced liquidation
Post-breakdown (late Nov–Dec):
- Volume contracts
- Down bars show smaller real bodies
- Several high-volume, small-range bars near 1.24–1.26

➡️ Effort vs. Result divergence
➡️ Selling effort no longer producing downside → absorption likely

4. Institutional Footprints & Smart Money Behavior

Liquidity & Traps

False downside continuation below 1.24
- Long lower wicks
- Immediate snap-back
- Indicates sell-stop harvesting

Accumulation Characteristics (Early, Not Confirmed)

Tight clustering between 1.24–1.27
Repeated failure to push lower despite tests
Suggests passive demand absorbing supply

⚠️ This is early accumulation behavior, not confirmation.

5. Bar Pattern & Microstructure Analysis

Notable Bar Signals

Nov capitulation bar:
- Wide range, volume spike → potential selling climax
Recent recovery bar (1.25 → 1.27):
- Bullish close
- Follow-through still weak
Multiple spinning tops / small bodies:
- Indicates balance state, not momentum

➡️ Market is pausing, not trending.

6. Key Supply / Demand Zones

Demand (Buy-Side Interest)

1.24–1.26:
- Repeated absorption
- Structural + volume confluence
- Critical “line in the sand”

Supply (Overhead)

1.32–1.33:
- Prior breakdown level
- Heavy supply expected
1.38–1.40:
- Major distribution ceiling (HTF)

7. Risk-Adjusted Setup Mapping (Technical Only)

Long-Side (Speculative, Mean-Reversion)

Entry Zone: 1.24–1.26 (only on rejection / absorption)
Invalidation: Clean daily close < 1.23
Initial Target: 1.32
Extended Target: 1.38
R:R: ~1:2.5 to 1:4

⚠️ Counter-trend — position size must reflect that.

Short-Side (If Supply Reasserts)

Rejection Zone: 1.32–1.33
Stop: Above 1.36
Target: 1.25 → 1.24

8. Higher-Timeframe Confluence (Inferred)

Daily aligns with distribution-to-basing transition
Weekly likely still range-bound, not trending
No HTF bullish alignment yet → rallies likely corrective until proven otherwise

9. Highest-Conviction Observations (Summary)

Distribution completed between 1.38–1.42
Bearish BOS in Nov confirmed institutional exit
Strong absorption at 1.24–1.26
Momentum decay on sell-side (effort vs result)
Current move is repair / basing, not trend reversal

10. Forward-Looking Bias & Levels to Watch

Bias

Neutral → cautiously constructive while above 1.24
Becomes bullish only on CHoCH above 1.33

Critical Levels

1.24: Structural demand / invalidation
1.27: Balance pivot
1.32–1.33: Decision zone (trend validation)
1.38+: Major supply

Final Assessment

TCU is no longer in aggressive distribution, but not yet trending.
The market is transitioning into a balanced, accumulation-attempt phase.
Patience and confirmation over prediction is required — this is a positioning zone, not a breakout environment.

Disclaimer:Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions.

Dividend: 3.15%

Friday, December 19, 2025

SIA Eng - 19 Dec 2025

SIA Engineering Co. Ltd. (SGX: S59)

Timeframe: Daily (1D)
Approx. Date Range: May → Dec 2025
Last Traded Price: ~3.51
Bars Analyzed: ~150 trading days

1. Market Regime Classification (Lead)

Current Regime:
Transition → Early Distribution / Range Expansion at Highs

Primary uptrend remains structurally intact
However, momentum decay + lower highs since the 3.81 peak
Volume behavior signals distribution rather than accumulation

This is no longer a clean trending regime; it is post-markup digestion.

2. Market Structure & Order Flow

Structural Mapping

Major Swing Low (SL): ~1.87 (May)
Higher Highs Sequence:
- 3.28 → 3.42 → 3.64 → 3.81
Key Higher Low (HL): ~3.35 (Oct)

Structural Events

BOS (Bullish):
- Clear break above 3.20–3.28 in June with expanding volume
Momentum Decay:
- From Oct onward: overlapping candles, shrinking real bodies
Early CHoCH Signal (Developing):
- Failure to hold above 3.64
- Subsequent lower high under 3.81

Interpretation:
Institutions successfully marked price up, but are no longer aggressively defending highs.

3. Advanced Volume-Price Relationship (VPR)

Key Volume Signatures

June–July Advance:
- Rising volume + expanding range → Professional accumulation
October Spike (Climactic Bar):
- Very high volume + wide range → Effort climax
Post-High Behavior:
- Lower volume on rebounds
- Volume contracts as price drifts down → Demand exhaustion

Effort vs Result

Multiple bars near 3.70–3.80 show:
- High effort (volume)
- Minimal upside result
  → Classic distribution absorption

4. Institutional Footprints & Smart Money Concepts

Liquidity & Traps

Liquidity grab above 3.64:
- Breakout attracts late longs
- No follow-through → immediate stalling
Upthrust Characteristics near 3.81:
- Push into new high
- Weak subsequent closes
- Failure to expand range further

Order Blocks

Supply Order Block: 3.70–3.81
- Last bullish push before distribution
Demand Zone: 3.30–3.35
- Prior HL + consolidation base

Fair Value Gaps (FVG)

Minor inefficiency left between 3.45–3.55
Current price rotating inside this zone → price seeking balance

5. Bar Pattern & Microstructure Read

Post-High Bars:
- Spinning tops + small-range candles
- Indecision at elevated prices = professional unloading
No Strong Bearish Engulfing Yet
→ Suggests controlled distribution, not panic

This is not breakdown behavior — it’s managed exit.

6. Psychological & Reference Levels

Level	Significance
3.80–3.81	Absolute high, institutional sell zone
3.64	Failed breakout / polarity level
3.50–3.45	Mid-range balance (current rotation)
3.35	Key HL – structural line in the sand
3.20–3.08	Prior accumulation base

7. High-Conviction Observations (Top 5)

Uptrend intact but weakening — structure holds, momentum does not
Distribution signatures near 3.7–3.8 confirmed by volume
Rebounds are corrective, not impulsive
3.35 is the critical decision level for trend continuation
Current price is in no-edge mid-range

8. Risk-Adjusted Trade Location Mapping (Technical Only)

Long Scenarios (Only if triggered)

Aggressive:
- Reclaim & hold above 3.64 with volume expansion
Conservative:
- Pullback to 3.30–3.35
- Evidence of absorption (high vol, small range)

Invalidation: Daily close below 3.30

Short / Hedge Scenarios

Rejection at 3.64–3.70 with weak volume
Confirmed CHoCH below 3.35

Targets:

3.20 → 3.08
Stops:
Above most recent LH

9. Multi-Timeframe Alignment (Inference)

Daily: Transition / distribution
Weekly (inferred): Extended markup → consolidation
No timeframe currently showing fresh accumulation

10. Forward-Looking Bias & Key Levels

Bias: Neutral → Cautious
Market State: Awaiting resolution

Bullish only if:

Strong reclaim of 3.64 with expansion

Bearish only if:

Clean loss of 3.35 with follow-through

Until then, capital preservation > activity.

Final Institutional Read

This is a professionally managed stock that has completed a clean markup phase and is now digesting supply at highs.
Retail traders chase breakouts here; institutions sell strength and wait.

Thursday, December 18, 2025

iFast - 16 Dec 2025

1. Chart Setup & Context

Stock: iFAST Corporation Ltd
Ticker: SGX: AIY
Timeframe: Daily (1D)
Date Range: ~May 2025 – 18 Dec 2025
Approx. Bars: ~160–170 daily bars
Last Traded Price: 9.27 SGD

2. Market Regime Classification (Lead)

Current Regime:
🟡 Late-stage Uptrend → Transition into Range / Distribution

Primary uptrend remains structurally intact
Momentum has clearly decelerated
Price is now rotating within a well-defined institutional range

3. Market Structure & Order Flow Analysis

A. Structural Mapping (SH / SL)

Primary Structure (May → Aug):

SL: ~6.18 → ~6.38 → ~6.67
BOS (Bullish): Early Aug explosive displacement
SH: ~9.83 (first major institutional profit-taking)

Secondary Structure (Aug → Nov):

SL: ~8.24 → ~8.63 → ~8.81 → ~8.82
SH: ~9.65 → 9.99 (range high / liquidity sweep)

Key Observation

Higher lows remain intact → trend not broken
Higher highs failed to expand meaningfully → momentum loss

B. BOS & CHoCH Assessment

Major BOS: Early Aug (vertical expansion from ~7.2 → 9+)
No bearish CHoCH yet
However:
- Each push above 9.5 produces weaker follow-through
- Structure evolving from trend → range

➡️ Institutional behavior suggests distribution, not reversal (yet)

4. Advanced Volume–Price Relationship (VPR)

A. Key Volume Events

1. Aug Breakout

High volume + wide range = professional participation
Clean displacement → confirms institutional sponsorship

2. Post-9.83 Pullback

Elevated volume + sharp downside = profit-taking
Followed by lower-volume stabilization → demand still present

3. Oct–Nov Range

Volume contracts inside 8.6–9.6
Breakouts lack volume expansion → false breakout risk

4. Recent Action (Dec)

Mild rebound from ~8.82 on average volume
No aggressive demand yet

B. Effort vs Result

Several high-effort (volume) bars near 9.8–10.0
Result: minimal upside continuation
➡️ Clear absorption / supply dominance at highs

5. Institutional Footprint Recognition

A. Liquidity Grabs

9.99 spike
- Obvious psychological + structural high
- Immediate rejection → classic buy-stop sweep
- Retail breakout trapped

B. Order Blocks

Bullish OB: ~8.6–8.8
- Repeated defended zone
- Every dip into this area attracts buyers
Bearish Supply OB: ~9.8–10.0
- Strong rejection zone
- Institutional unloading evident

C. Fair Value Gaps (FVG)

Aug impulse created inefficiencies between ~7.6–8.0
Partially mitigated during Sep pullback
Lower FVGs largely filled → downside pressure reduced

6. Bar Pattern Recognition

Reversal / Transition Signals

Multiple upper-wick rejection bars near 9.6–10.0
Spinning tops + overlapping ranges → distribution signature
No strong bearish engulfing → sellers are controlled, not panicked

Continuation Patterns

Tight consolidations near 8.8–9.0
Indicates accumulation within range, not breakdown

7. Psychological & Structural Levels

Level	Significance
10.00	Major psychological + liquidity grab
9.65–9.80	Supply zone / failed continuation
9.30	Mid-range equilibrium (current price)
8.80–8.60	High-probability institutional demand
8.24	Last major swing low (trend invalidation below)

8. Multi-Timeframe Confluence

Daily: Range within higher-timeframe uptrend
Weekly (inferred):
- Still bullish structure
- Long upper wicks → distribution at highs
No HTF breakdown confirmation

➡️ Bias remains neutral-bullish, not bearish

9. High-Probability Trade Zones (Risk-Adjusted)

A. Long Continuation Setup (Preferred)

Zone: 8.60–8.80
Rationale:

Bullish order block
Repeated defense
Favorable effort vs result

Risk: Below 8.24
Targets:

T1: 9.50
T2: 9.90–10.00

R:R: ~1:2.5 to 1:3

B. Range Fade / Short-Term Sell (Advanced)

Zone: 9.80–10.00
Only valid if:

Rejection wicks
Volume divergence
Weak close

Not a trend short — tactical only

10. Highest-Conviction Observations (Summary)

Primary uptrend intact, but momentum clearly fading
9.8–10.0 is a confirmed institutional distribution zone
8.6–8.8 remains the key accumulation / defense area
Recent price action shows range rotation, not breakdown
Market awaiting fresh catalyst or HTF expansion trigger

11. Forward-Looking Bias & Levels to Watch

Bias:
➡️ Neutral-Bullish (Range Continuation)

Watch Closely:

Acceptance above 9.80 with volume → trend continuation
Loss of 8.60 → deeper correction risk
Breakdown below 8.24 → confirms CHoCH (trend failure)

Final

This is not a weak stock — it is a strong stock digesting gains. Institutions are rotating inventory, not exiting en masse. The edge lies in buying structural weakness into demand, not chasing upside breakouts.

Wednesday, December 17, 2025

UOB Kay Hian - 17 Dec 2025

UOB-Kay Hian Holdings Ltd (SGX: U10)

Timeframe: Daily (1D)
Date Range: ~May 2025 – 17 Dec 2025
Last Traded Price: ~2.53
Approx. Bars Analyzed: ~150 trading sessions

1. Market Regime Classification (Lead)

Current Regime: Transition → Late-Stage Range with Upward Bias

Primary impulse up already completed (May–Sep)
Since Oct: range-bound re-accumulation, not distribution
Volatility compressed, ranges narrowing → energy build-up
No structural breakdown → bias remains neutral-to-bullish, not trend-bearish

2. Market Structure & Order Flow

A. Primary Structure (Macro)

May → Early Sep: Clean Uptrend

Higher highs / higher lows:
- ~1.84 → 2.03 → 2.63 → 2.72
Strong directional legs with expanding volume
Institutional sponsorship evident

Key Swing Points

SH: 2.63 → 2.72
SL: 2.14 → 2.35

B. Structural Inflection

Change of Character (CHoCH): Early Oct

Failure to hold above ~2.63–2.72
First meaningful lower high
Trend momentum decays (overlapping bars, smaller ranges)

⚠️ This is not a bearish BOS — it is a trend → range transition

C. Current Micro-Structure (Oct → Dec)

Defined range:
- Range High: ~2.56–2.60
- Range Low: ~2.31–2.35
Higher lows inside the range:
- 2.31 → 2.39 → ~2.45
This is compressive accumulation, not distribution

3. Volume–Price Relationship (VPR)

Key Observations

1. Expansion Volume on Impulse Legs (Bullish Legacy)

July and early Sep rallies show:
- Wide-range bullish bars
- Clear volume expansion
Confirms earlier institutional accumulation

2. Declining Volume During Pullbacks

Pullbacks from 2.72 → 2.35 occurred on:
- Lower volume
- Smaller ranges
Classic profit-taking, not aggressive selling

3. Volume Dry-Up Inside Range

Oct–Dec volume steadily contracts
Indicates:
- Supply being absorbed
- Weak hands exiting
This favors eventual resolution upward

4. Institutional Footprints & Smart Money Concepts

A. Absorption Zones (High Conviction)

2.30–2.35 Zone

Repeated tests
No downside follow-through
Several small-range bars on relatively higher volume
→ Professional absorption

B. Liquidity Behavior

Minor stop-runs below ~2.35 rejected quickly
No acceptance below 2.30
Suggests sell-side liquidity already consumed

C. Order Blocks

Last bearish candles before July and Sep impulse legs sit around:
- ~2.05
- ~2.35
The ~2.35 area continues to function as demand

5. Bar Pattern Recognition

Reversal / Defense Bars

Multiple lower-wick candles near 2.31–2.35
Closes consistently above mid-range
Volume supportive → defensive buying

Continuation Structures

Series of inside bars near 2.45–2.55
Indicates coiling energy, not exhaustion

No Distribution Signals

No climactic selling bars
No wide-range bearish closes with follow-through

6. Psychological & Structural Levels

Level	Interpretation
2.30–2.35	Major institutional demand
2.50	Psychological pivot
2.56–2.60	Range ceiling / decision zone
2.72	Prior high → major liquidity target

7. High-Probability Trade Zones (Risk-Adjusted)

Zone A: Range Support Re-Entry (Best R:R)

Entry: 2.35–2.40
Invalidation: < 2.30 (daily close)
Targets:
- T1: 2.56
- T2: 2.70–2.72
R:R: ~1:3+

Zone B: Breakout Acceptance Trade

Trigger: Daily close & acceptance above 2.60
Confirmation: Volume expansion
Targets:
- 2.72
- Measured move projection: ~2.85
Risk: Failed breakout back into range

8. Highest-Conviction Observations (Summary)

No bearish BOS — only a trend-to-range transition
Repeated absorption at 2.30–2.35 confirms institutional demand
Volume contraction favors accumulation, not distribution
Higher lows inside range suggest upside pressure building
Next directional move likely impulsive, not gradual

9. Forward-Looking Bias & Key Levels

Bias:

Neutral-to-bullish while above 2.30
Bullish continuation if > 2.60 accepted
Bearish only if clean acceptance below 2.30 (currently low probability)

Key Levels to Watch Closely

2.35 (structure integrity)
2.56–2.60 (range resolution)
2.72 (liquidity magnet)

Tuesday, December 16, 2025

Geo Energy - 16 Dec 2025

Geo Energy Resources Ltd (SGX: RE4)

Timeframe: Daily (1D)
Approx. Date Range: Apr 2025 – Dec 2025
Last Traded Price: ~SGD 0.425

1. Market Regime Classification (Lead Conclusion)

Current Regime: Transition → Weak Downtrend / Distribution aftermath

The stock has completed an impulsive markup phase, entered distribution, and is now in a post-distribution drift lower
Volatility has compressed, volume has dried up, and price is losing momentum
This is not an accumulation structure yet — it is a cooling / digestion phase

2. Higher-Level Market Structure (Macro → Micro)

Primary Swing Structure

Swing Low (SL): ~0.320 (July)
Swing High (SH): ~0.520 (early Oct)
Structure sequence:
- Higher Low → Higher High into Oct = confirmed uptrend
- Lower Highs after 0.520 = trend exhaustion
- Failure to reclaim 0.48–0.50 = structural weakness

Key Structural Events

Break of Structure (BOS – bullish):
- Early Sep surge from ~0.35 → ~0.45 on wide-range + expanding volume
Change of Character (CHoCH – bearish):
- Post-0.520 rejection with heavy volume but poor follow-through
- First clear signal institutions stopped pushing price higher

👉 Bias shifted from trend continuation → distribution

3. Institutional vs Retail Behavior

Markup Phase (Aug → Sep)

Strong displacement move from ~0.33 → ~0.45
Wide bodies, minimal overlap, volume expansion
Clear institutional sponsorship

Distribution Phase (Oct)

0.50–0.52 zone
Repeated:
- High volume
- Upper wicks
- Failure to extend
Effort (volume) without result (price) → textbook distribution

Post-Distribution Drift (Nov → Dec)

Lower highs, shallow bounces
Volume contracts → institutions no longer active
Retail participation dominates

4. Advanced Volume-Price Relationship (VPR)

Critical Observations

High Volume + Small Range at 0.50+
→ Institutional selling into strength
Declining volume on down-move
→ Not panic selling, but controlled exit
Volume Dry-Up near 0.42–0.43
→ Market indecision, not accumulation yet

⚠️ No clear absorption cluster at current lows.

5. Bar Pattern & Micro-Structure Analysis

At the Top (0.50–0.52)

Multiple shooting-star / long-wick bars
Followed by bearish continuation closes
No bullish engulfing or reclaim bars → rejection confirmed

Recent Bars (~0.42–0.43)

Small real bodies
Overlapping ranges
Lack of initiative buying
→ Balance / pause, not reversal

6. Key Institutional Supply & Demand Zones

Supply Zones (Overhead)

0.48–0.50 → Major institutional supply (distribution high)
0.455–0.465 → Prior support turned resistance

Demand Zones (Below)

0.42–0.415 → Minor short-term reaction zone (currently testing)
0.395–0.400 → Stronger historical demand
0.350–0.360 → Major institutional accumulation base

7. Fair Value Gaps & Inefficiencies

Large inefficient displacement from ~0.35 → ~0.45
Current price has only partially rebalanced
Probability favors deeper retrace toward 0.40 or lower before new trend forms

8. Multi-Timeframe Confluence (HTF Bias)

Daily structure: Lower highs
Weekly context (implied):
- Likely still corrective after strong impulse
No HTF signal yet suggesting renewed accumulation

9. Psychological & Reference Levels

Level	Significance
0.50	Round number + distribution high
0.45	Failed support / breakdown
0.42	Current decision level
0.40	Psychological + structural
0.35	Major cycle low / value zone

10. High-Conviction Observations (Top 5)

0.52 was a confirmed distribution high
No institutional demand visible yet
Current price action = balance, not accumulation
Any rally below 0.455 likely a sell-the-rally
Best risk-reward likely lower, not here

11. Risk-Adjusted Setup Mapping (Technical Only)

Bullish Case (LOW probability currently)

Conditions required:
- Strong bullish displacement from 0.40–0.42
- Volume expansion
- Reclaim 0.455
Until then → no long bias

Bearish / Drift Case (Higher probability)

Failure at 0.43–0.44
Slow grind toward 0.40
Possible test of 0.395

12. Forward-Looking Bias & Levels to Watch

Bias: Neutral-to-bearish
Market State: Post-distribution digestion

Key Levels

Above 0.455: Bias improves
Below 0.415: Downside continuation risk
0.395–0.400: First serious accumulation candidate
0.35: High-confidence long-term demand zone

Bottom Line (Institutional Perspective)

This is not a buy-the-dip chart.
It is a wait-for-value or wait-for-proof chart.

Either:

Deeper retrace into demand, or
Clear accumulation signal with volume

Until one appears, capital preservation > participation.

Monday, December 15, 2025

Global Inv, - 15 Dec 2025

1. Chart Setup & Context

Stock: Global Investments Limited
Ticker: SGX: B73
Timeframe: Daily (1D)
Date Range Analyzed: Apr → mid-Dec
Approx. Bars: ~170 daily bars
Last Traded Price: 0.128

2. Market Regime Classification (Lead)

Current Regime: RANGING → LATE DISTRIBUTION / WEAK ACCUMULATION FAILURE

No sustained higher-high sequence
Repeated range highs sold into
Range compression + declining upside momentum
Buyers defending 0.126–0.127, but with weak follow-through

This is not a trending environment. It is a liquidity-driven rotation range.

3. Market Structure & Order Flow

Structural Map (Key Swings)

Major Range Low: ~0.121–0.122
Intermediate Support: 0.126
Range Mid: 0.129
Range High / Supply: 0.132–0.136

Structure Observations

Apr–May: Recovery leg from 0.121 → 0.130 (initiative buying)
Jun–Jul: Overlapping bars → loss of momentum
Aug: Displacement up to 0.136, immediately rejected
Sep–Dec: Lower highs + flat lows → distribution behavior

BOS / CHoCH

CHoCH (Bearish): After failure above 0.136
No bullish BOS since Aug → confirms buyers lost control

4. Volume–Price Relationship (Critical Insight)

Key Volume Events

Aug spike to 0.136
- High volume + wide range
- Immediate rejection next bar
- Classic professional distribution
Post-Aug pullback to 0.126
- High volume + long downside wick
- Price fails to accelerate lower
- Absorption by stronger hands
Recent bars (Nov–Dec)
- Low volume + narrow ranges
- Indicates lack of participation, not accumulation

Effort vs Result

Multiple high-effort rallies → minimal net progress
Strong sign of supply absorbing demand

5. Institutional Footprints (Smart Money Lens)

Liquidity Grab: Push above 0.132–0.136 cleared stops
Upthrust After Distribution (UTAD): Aug high
Order Block: Supply zone remains 0.132–0.136
No clean FVG support below current price → downside risk if 0.126 fails

Wyckoff read:

Phase C/D attempt failed
Market reverted to distribution range

6. Bar Pattern Recognition (Micro)

Reversal / Control Bars

Repeated upper-wick rejection bars near 0.132
No strong bullish engulfing from support
Recent red closes near lows → seller control intraday

Continuation / Indecision

Prolonged inside-bar clusters around 0.129
Indicates energy compression, not accumulation
Resolution likely directional, not neutral

7. Psychological & Structural Levels

Level	Meaning
0.136	Major distribution high
0.132	Repeated institutional sell zone
0.129	Range midpoint / magnet
0.126	Critical buyer defense
0.121–0.122	Structural base

8. High-Conviction Observations (Top 5)

Every rally above 0.132 is sold aggressively
Buyers defend 0.126 but lack initiative
Volume contracts on rallies → bearish divergence
Structure favors mean reversion, not trend
Break of 0.126 likely accelerates downside

9. Risk-Adjusted Setup Mapping (Execution Lens)

Bullish Scenario (Lower Probability)

Entry Zone: 0.126–0.127 (absorption confirmation required)
Invalidation: Daily close < 0.124
Targets:
- TP1: 0.129
- TP2: 0.132
R:R: ~1:2 (counter-trend, tactical only)

⚠️ Requires clear volume expansion + bullish close — currently absent.

Bearish Scenario (Higher Probability)

Trigger: Daily close < 0.126
Entry: Weak retest of 0.126 from below
Targets:
- TP1: 0.122
- TP2: 0.119
Stop: Above 0.129
R:R: 1:2.5+

Aligned with structure + volume logic.

10. Multi-Timeframe Bias (Implicit)

Daily range unresolved
Weekly structure still capped below 0.136
Higher timeframe does not support sustained upside

11. Catalyst Consideration (Non-Dominant)

No visible sustained catalyst impact
Price reactions suggest news sold into, not accumulated
Moves appear liquidity-driven, not fundamentally repriced

12. Forward-Looking Bias & Key Levels

Bias:
➡️ Neutral-to-Bearish while below 0.132

Key Levels to Watch:

0.126 → decision level (most important)
0.132 → supply confirmation
0.121 → downside liquidity pocket

Bottom Line (Institutional View)

This is a range-bound, distribution-leaning stock with weak demand follow-through.
Until 0.132 is reclaimed with volume, upside attempts are sellable rotations, not trends.