Saturday, November 29, 2025

Mapletree Ind - 28 Nov 2025

Mapletree Industrial Trust (ME8U) – Daily Chart – Nov 2025

MARKET REGIME CLASSIFICATION

Regime: Transition → Early Accumulation
Price has shifted from a sharp November liquidation into a basing structure. Selling pressure is weakening, demand is quietly returning, and volatility is compressing near the lows. This is a potential accumulation zone, not yet a confirmed trend reversal.

HIGHEST-CONVICTION OBSERVATIONS

November selloff (2.23 → 2.00) showed panic liquidation, but the follow-through was weak — classic exhaustion selling.
Multiple false breaks near 1.98–2.00 show smart money absorbing supply.
The recent push into 2.06 occurred on slightly rising volume, indicating demand emergence.
Structure is attempting a CHoCH (change of character) — bears losing control.
Key 2.11 FVG gap above remains a high-probability magnet if price sustains above 2.06.

1. Market Structure & Order Flow

Macro Structure

March–July: Downtrend, SH → SL sequence (2.13 → 1.90).
July–Oct: Uptrend, new HHs (1.90 → 2.23).
November: Distributive breakdown from 2.23.

Micro Structure (Recent)

SL: 1.98
Retest SL: ~2.00 cluster
Short-term SH: 2.06
Key lower-high breakdown origin: 2.11

BOS & CHoCH Identification

BOS downward: break of 2.11 → freefall to ~2.00.
CHoCH attempt: break and hold above 2.05–2.06 would mark demand reclaiming control.

Momentum

Downward momentum has collapsed: bars are smaller, overlapping, low-effort selling.

Interpretation:
Smart money is accumulating near lows. Bears are weakening.

2. Volume–Price Relationship (VPR)

Key Volume Signals

High volume, wide range on the Nov crash from 2.23 → 2.10 = panic + profit taking.
High volume, small range at 1.98–2.00 = absorption zone (institutions taking supply).
Volume divergence: Price made new local low at 1.98, but volume decreased → no real selling interest.

Current VPR

Recent uptick to 2.06 is on rising volume → early accumulation confirmation.

3. Institutional Footprints

Liquidity Grabs

Wick sweeps below 1.98–2.00 repeatedly → stop-hunts grabbing liquidity then reversing.

Order Blocks

Bearish OB at 2.11–2.13 (last up bar before the breakdown).
Bullish OB at 1.98–2.00 (last down bars before absorption).

Fair Value Gaps

Clear FVG at 2.11–2.14 (thin volume inefficiency).
This is a magnet target if the low holds.

Displacement

Downward displacement from 2.17–2.11 showed institutional exit.
BUT: No follow-through after hitting 2.00 → indicates capitulation complete.

4. Bar Pattern Recognition

Reversal Bars

At 1.98: Multiple hammer-like bars with long lower wicks = absorption + stop hunts.
At 2.06 (latest bar): Small body but closing near high → constructive demand.

Continuation/Consolidation

Series of small-range inside bar clusters near 2.00 = compression → expansion expected.

5. Multi-Timeframe Confluence

Weekly: Price sitting on HTF demand zone (1.95–2.00) from 2023.
Daily: Attempting CHoCH.
Both timeframes show oversold → accumulation behavior.

Confluence supports reversion upward if 2.00 holds.

6. Psychological Levels

2.00 — major psychological S/R, heavily defended.
2.10 — intermediate level and origin of the November breakdown.
2.20–2.23 — yearly resistance ceiling.

7. Risk-Adjusted Setup Zones

High-Probability Long Zone

Entry region: 2.00–2.05
Reasoning: Absorption, demand return, CHoCH attempt.

Targets

2.11 – FVG fill (low-hanging fruit)
2.17 – prior structural swing high
2.23 – major resistance & top of distribution

Stop Placement

Below 1.97 (beneath liquidity sweep lows)

R/R Expectation

To 2.11 → 1:2 R/R
To 2.17 → 1:3 R/R
To 2.23 → 1:4.5 R/R

8. Market Regime Summary

Current: Accumulation / Transition

Selling exhausted
Buyers quietly stepping in
Breakout likely if 2.06–2.11 clears with volume

9. Institutional Supply/Demand Zones

Demand

1.98–2.00 (primary accumulation zone)
2.03–2.05 (recent demand initiation)

Supply

2.11–2.13 (bearish OB + FVG)
2.17 (swing high supply)
2.23 (macro supply)

Expect price to oscillate between 2.00 and 2.11 before a decisive move.

10. Recent Company Catalyst Correlation

(MIT news over past 90 days)

No major negative catalysts → selling likely technical, not fundamental.
REIT sector rotation mildly negative in early Nov (higher rates volatility).
Volume spikes correlate more with market volatility, not company news.

Implication:
The November selloff was not fundamentally driven, increasing the probability of mean reversion.

FORWARD-LOOKING BIAS

Bias: Mildly bullish above 2.00; strongly bullish above 2.11.

Key Levels to Watch

2.00 → must hold; losing it flips bias bearish
2.06 → break/hold = CHoCH confirmation
2.11 → breakout target + FVG fill
2.17 / 2.23 → trend continuation levels

Disclaimer:Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions.

Dividend: 6.50%

Friday, November 28, 2025

Mapletree Log 28 Nov 2025

MAPLETREE LOGISTICS TRUST (M44U) – DAILY TIMEFRAME

Period observed: Apr → 28 Nov 2025
Bars analysed: ~160
Last traded price: 1.32 SGD

1. Market Regime Classification (Lead Section)

Current regime: Transition → Early Uptrend

The chart shows a multi-month accumulation base, followed by:

A CHoCH in mid-June,
A steady series of HL–HH structures forming from July to November,
A recent pullback from 1.37 back into 1.30-1.32, now pushing back upward.

The market is not in strong markup, but not ranging either.
This is a transition into controlled bullish structure, driven by increasing demand.

2. Highest Conviction Observations (Summary Before Deep Dive)

(1) Strong demand zone at 1.22 – 1.24

Repeated absorptions, low-volume tests, and multiple HLs confirm institutional accumulation.

(2) 1.30 → 1.34 is the key supply belt

Price has repeatedly stalled here. Every breakout attempt required volume expansion.

(3) The 1.37 breakout was poorly sustained

Wide-range candle but no follow-through, showing lack of strong institutional chase.

(4) Current structure forming a higher low at 1.30

Demand is stepping in again → bullish continuation likely if volume expands above 1.33–1.34.

(5) Volume signature suggests Smart Money quietly building positions

Repeated high-volume absorption during selloffs, but no panic volume on retracements.

3. Market Structure & Order Flow Analysis

Macro Structure

Major swing lows (SL): 1.07 → 1.08 → 1.13 → 1.14 → 1.23 → 1.24 → current ~1.30
Major swing highs (SH): 1.16 → 1.22 → 1.29 → 1.30 → 1.37

Key structural events

Event	Description
BOS #1 (June)	Price breaks above 1.16 – first confirmation demand dominating
CHoCH (July)	Higher low at 1.13 and breakout to 1.22
BOS #2 (Oct)	1.29 → 1.37 breakout
Current status	Pullback from 1.37 forming HL around 1.30–1.32

Trend is clean uptrend with healthy pullbacks.

Trend Momentum

Early trend: compact candles, overlapping → accumulation
Mid trend: strong candles July–Sep
Late trend (Nov): momentum slowing, wider wicks, supply showing at 1.34–1.37

Buyers still in control, but not aggressively chasing highs.

4. Volume–Price Relationship (VPR)

Key observations

Absorption

Large red candles in Apr–May came with large wicks and deep absorption → institutional accumulation.
At 1.22-1.24, repeated high-volume but small-range bars = strong hands accumulating.

Volume Dry-Up

During pullbacks from 1.29 → 1.24, volume declined significantly
→ retracement not driven by strong selling.

Volume Expansion

Breakout toward 1.37 had clear volume expansion, but single-day spike only → not sustained.

Overall VPR conclusion

Demand > Supply, but supply thickens at 1.34–1.37.
Perfect environment for step-wise markup, not explosive breakout.

5. Institutional Footprint Recognition

Order Blocks

Bullish OB at 1.22–1.24
Last down-moves before strong rallies. Market repeatedly returns to this zone → clear demand.

Liquidity Grabs

At 1.07 and 1.08, deep spikes followed by immediate reversals = classic sell-side liquidity sweep.

Fair Value Gaps

Small FVGs visible in:
- July rally (1.13 → 1.22)
- September rally (1.24 → 1.29)
  These FVGs were mitigated on pullbacks, indicating controlled institutional flows.

Displacement Moves

1.24 → 1.30 in late Sept was a displacement run, strong direction, shallow pullback.

Smart money is active, but not aggressive. Steady accumulation pattern.

6. Bar Pattern Analysis

Reversal Bars

Multiple hammer-type reversals at:
- 1.13
- 1.14
- 1.24
  These coincide with demand zones + volume drops → high-quality reversals.

Continuation Bars

August–October rally contains multiple inside bar clusters → bullish compression → breakouts.

Indecision Bars

Near 1.34–1.37 supply, more doji-type bars appear → confirms thick supply overhead.

7. Multi-Timeframe Confluence

Although only daily chart visible:

Weekly likely forming multi-month base breakout at 1.30.
Daily supports this with HL structure + volume validation.

Strong confluence around 1.30 as support on both daily + weekly.

8. Psychological Levels

1.30 → largest magnet level, both support and resistance
1.35 / 1.37 → supply zone, tested twice
1.20 → structural demand zone if deeper correction happens

9. Supply & Demand Zones

Demand zones (high conviction)

1.22 – 1.24 (primary institutional demand)
1.30 – 1.32 (current support forming)

Supply zones

1.34 – 1.37 (heavy supply stack)
Repeated rejection, wide wicks, and failed follow-through.

10. Risk-Adjusted Setup Identification

Bullish scenario (higher probability)

Entry: 1.31–1.32
Stop: Below 1.29 (structural invalidation)
Target 1: 1.34
Target 2: 1.37
Target 3: 1.40 (if breakout sustained)

RR ≈ 1:2.6 to 1:4.0

Bearish scenario (if 1.29 breaks)

Entry: Break below 1.29 with volume
Target: 1.24
Invalidation: Above 1.32

But probability lower given accumulation behaviour.

11. Forward-Looking Bias

Bullish bias with caution

Strong structure
Demand stepping in
Good HL formation
Controlled volume behaviour

But need a clean break above 1.34 to retest 1.37 and move toward 1.40.

Key levels to watch

Support: 1.30
Demand: 1.24
Resistance: 1.34
Breakout line: 1.37

If 1.34 breaks with volume → high probability continuation.

If 1.29 breaks → retest of 1.24 likely.

12. Final Summary (Actionable)

Mapletree Logistics Trust (M44U) is showing institutional accumulation, strong HL construction, and low-volume retracements. The current pullback into 1.30–1.32 is behaving like a bullish retest, and upside continuation is favoured as long as 1.29 holds.

Forward bias:
➜ Bullish continuation toward 1.34 → 1.37, with potential for a breakout to 1.40 if volume expands.

Wednesday, November 26, 2025

Netlink NBN Trust - 26 Nov 2025

Stock: NetLink NBN Trust (CJLU)
Timeframe: Daily
Date Range: ~Mar–Nov 2025
Bars: ~180
Last Traded Price: 0.960

1. Market Regime Classification — Currently Trending with Early Pullback Recovery

NetLink is in a medium-term uptrend, making sequential higher swing lows from 0.865 → 0.885 → 0.935 and higher swing highs from 0.910 → 0.965 → 0.990.
The recent dip toward 0.940 shows shallow pullback characteristics followed by today’s strong green recovery bar = trend resumption bias remains intact.

2. Highest Conviction Observations (Professional Read)

(1) Clear Uptrend With Healthy Structure

Swing Highs: 0.930 → 0.910 → 0.965 → 0.990
Swing Lows: 0.865 → 0.885 → 0.935
No major CHoCH; all pullbacks remain above previous SLs → trend still intact

(2) Volume Behavior Signals Accumulation, Not Distribution

Recent down-leg from 0.990 → 0.940 occurred on decreasing volume
The recovery green bar today: wide spread + volume expansion
→ This is demand stepping in, not supply pressure.

(3) Possible Liquidity Grab at 0.940

Price briefly wicks below prior micro-swing (0.945 zone)
Quick reversal → classic stop-run + institutional pickup

(4) 0.965–0.975 = Key Supply Block

This area has:
• multiple upper wicks
• previous rejection
• volume spikes showing profit-taking
→ Expect significant orders here.

(5) 0.990 = Major Liquidity Pool Above

Final upside wick into 0.990 is a liquidity magnet
If broken with volume → continuation
If rejected → potential range 0.935–0.990

3. Market Structure & Order Flow (Bar-by-Bar Context)

Trend Structure

BOS Up:
- Break above 0.885
- Break above 0.910
- Break above 0.965 → major momentum shift
No downside BOS yet → bullish bias stands.

Momentum

Strong impulse legs (long green bars)
Pullbacks shallow (4–7 bars, narrow spread)
→ Momentum decay not observed, trend still strong.

4. Volume-Price Relationship (VPR)

Bullish VPR Signals

✔ Volume Declines on Pullbacks → mechanical profit taking, not selling
✔ Volume Expands on Up-moves → professional accumulation
✔ Recent Volume Dry-Up at 0.940 → classic pre-reversal setup
✔ Today: Wide range + Volume Expansion → bullish effort with clear result

No signs of supply absorption or distribution.

5. Institutional Footprints

(1) Liquidity Grabs

Wick down to ~0.940 swept liquidity → reversed instantly
→ textbook spring pattern.

(2) Order Blocks

Demand OB: 0.935–0.945
- Last down-close before strong push today
- Expect retests to hold as support
Supply OB: 0.965–0.975
- Last up-close before the drop
- Heavy liquidity sits here

(3) Fair Value Gaps (FVG)

Small bullish FVG formed in Sep uptrend leg
→ already filled → healthy structure.

6. Bar Pattern Analysis

Bullish Bars

Multiple bullish engulfing candles after small pullbacks
Today’s bar = wide range + strong close → high-quality continuation bar
Several tight clusters of inside bars in pullback zones → compression → expansion upward

Bearish Bars

0.990 wick shows exhaustion
0.965 red bar earlier = profit taking, not trend reversal.

7. Multi-Timeframe Confluence

On weekly chart (derived from daily structure):

Price is climbing steadily off major support at ~0.880
Weekly trend up
Daily trend up
→ HTF–LTF alignment = strong continuation bias

8. Psychological & Key Levels

Level	Importance
0.935	Strong support / demand block
0.950	Mid-level pivot; recent breakout
0.965	Strong supply, institutional level
0.990	Liquidity pool, key swing high
1.000	Psychological level magnet

ATR context: Price swings remain within normal volatility; no overextension.

9. Risk-Adjusted Trade Zones (Professional View)

Bullish Scenario (Higher Probability)

Entry Zone: 0.945–0.955 (retest of demand OB)
Stop: Below 0.935
TP1: 0.965
TP2: 0.990
TP3 (extension): 1.02
R:R ≈ 3:1

Bearish (Low Probability until BOS down)

Invalidates bull case only if 0.935 breaks with volume.
Then downside to 0.910.

10. Forward-Looking Bias

Primary Bias: Bullish Continuation

Reasoning:

Uptrend structure intact
No bearish CHoCH
Demand stepped in aggressively today
Pullback was shallow
Weekly confluence bullish

Key Levels to Watch

0.965: first resistance test
0.990: major breakout level
0.935: invalidation level for bulls

Summary (Ultra-Concise)

NetLink is in a clean bullish trend with strong accumulation characteristics.
The recent dip into 0.940 was a liquidity sweep, and the aggressive buy-back today signals likely continuation toward 0.965 and possibly 0.990.
Only a break below 0.935 would turn the structure bearish.

Tuesday, November 25, 2025

AIMS APAC - 25 Nov 2025

AIMS APAC REIT (O5RU) — Daily Chart

1. Market Structure & Order Flow

Swing Points

SL: 1.22 → 1.28 → 1.33 → 1.34 → 1.35 → higher lows continue into November.
SH: 1.28 → 1.40 → equal 1.40 (September double top) → new SH at 1.46.

Break of Structure (BOS)

The breakout above 1.40 (previous double top) is a high-significance BOS.
The latest candlestick closes strong above this level → confirmation of trend continuation.

Trend Character

Higher highs + higher lows = healthy staircase advance.
Retracements remain shallow (15–35c range).
Bars are increasing in spread near the breakout zone → momentum expansion.

Change of Character (CHoCH)

None bearish.
All corrective phases remain controlled — no structural damage.

2. Volume–Price Relationship (VPR)

Critical Observations

Volume expansion during July–Aug breakout, followed by consolidation: classic markup–pause–markup profile.
Recent November breakout above 1.40 shows volume expansion, validating the move.
Low-volume dips around 1.35–1.36 = lack of selling pressure → bullish absorption.

Absorption Signals

Multiple small-range red bars with moderate volume around 1.33 and 1.35 indicate institutions absorbing supply, not selling.

Effort vs. Result

High effort (volume) + good result (higher closes) = professional buying, not retail FOMO.

3. Institutional Footprints

Liquidity Grabs

The retest around 1.34 swept liquidity under October lows before reversing — this is a bullish spring.

Order Blocks

Bullish OB formed near 1.33–1.35 (mid-Oct).
Price never broke below it → strong institutional support.

Fair Value Gaps

Small FVG visible during the surge from 1.38 → 1.40 in early Nov — price later returned partially but not fully → bullish displacement.

Displacement Move

The most recent breakout candle toward 1.45–1.46 is a clear displacement showing strong directional intent.

4. Bar-by-Bar Pattern Recognition

Key Bars Identified

Nov breakout bar: wide-range green bar, strong close → genuine breakout, not a failed one.
Aug–Oct pullback zone: several inside bars → volatility compression before the next leg higher.
Small doji clusters at 1.40 → absorption at resistance before breakout.

Continuation Patterns

The structure from Sep–Oct resembles a bull flag with resistance at 1.40.
Breakout confirms measured move potential.

5. Multi-Timeframe Confluence

Weekly Structure

The weekly chart (inferred) is bullish with a clean series of higher lows.
The daily breakout aligns with weekly momentum → timeframe compression supporting continuation.

6. Psychological Levels

1.40 acted as heavy resistance (rejected twice), now broken → becomes major support.
1.50 will act as the next psychological magnet.
ATR expansion from prior weeks suggests participation increasing.

7. Risk-Adjusted Setup Identification

High-Probability Long Zone (Pullback Buy)

1.40 – 1.42 (BOS retest zone)
Confluence: previous resistance, liquidity zone, volume cluster.

Invalidation / Stop Level

Below 1.33, loss of structural higher low and order block.

Upside Targets

1.50 (psychological + next liquidity)
1.56–1.58 (measured move from 1.28→1.40 = +12c projection)

Reward:RIsk

Entry 1.40–1.42
Stop 1.33 (7c risk)
Target 1.56 (14c reward) → 2R
Target 1.58 (18c reward) → 2.5R

8. Market Regime Classification

✔ Trending Regime

Strong HH/HL structure
Volume expansion
Clear displacement moves
Shallow retracements
Strong breakout follow-through

9. Institutional Supply/Demand Zones

Demand Zones

1.33 – 1.35 (strongest, unviolated OB)
1.40 – 1.42 (new demand zone after breakout)

Supply Zones

1.50 – 1.52 (next high-timing supply)
No strong overhead supply until mid-2022 structure.

🔥 Highest Conviction Observations

Major breakout above 1.40 with clean volume expansion → trend continuation confirmed.
Institutional accumulation visible at 1.33–1.35 and 1.40–1.42.
No bearish CHoCH; structure remains perfectly intact.
Risk-efficient pullback buy zone sits at 1.40–1.42.
Measured move supports upside toward 1.55–1.58 (medium term).

📌 Forward-Looking Bias: Bullish

Key Levels to Watch

Support: 1.40, 1.35
Resistance: 1.50, 1.58
Critical invalidation: close below 1.33

As long as price remains above 1.40, the bullish continuation remains the highest-probability scenario.

Monday, November 24, 2025

StarHill Global - 24 Nov 2025

Starhill Global REIT (P40U), Daily Chart, Jan–Nov 2025
(Last traded price 0.580.)

Market Regime Classification

Regime: Trending → Mild Distribution → Sideways Compression
The chart shows a clear shift:

Feb–Aug 2025: Strong uptrend with progressive higher highs/higher lows.
Sep–Oct 2025: Trend continues but with weaker momentum, overlapping candles, and lower-volume pushes → momentum decay.
Nov 2025: Price trapped between 0.560–0.590, forming a tight range = early distribution or sideways compression before next impulse.

High-Conviction Observations (Top 5)

1. Strong Institutional Accumulation Zone at 0.455–0.480

The repeated tests of 0.455 (Apr panic low) were met with heavy volume absorption.
The long lower wicks + high volume + tight spread = strong hands absorbing retail capitulation.

2. Clean Trend Structure: BOS at 0.510 → Impulse to 0.550 → 0.580 → 0.590

Each breakout level showed volume expansion, confirming institutional participation.
Pullbacks remained shallow (23–38% of swings), a classic signature of institutional trending regime.

3. Momentum Decay After 0.590

The highs around 0.580–0.590 show:
- Smaller candle bodies
- Lower volume
- More overlapping bars
  → Clear signal that demand is weakening and supply is increasing.

4. Liquidity Grab at 0.590

The recent spike to 0.590 swept liquidity above the prior swing high.
The rejection back to mid-range (0.570–0.580) indicates a stop-hunt → smart money likely offloading.

5. Current Structure: Range-Bound 0.560–0.590

This range is forming right under resistance.
Volume is declining → coiling energy.
A breakout requires clear volume expansion above 0.590, otherwise a false breakout is likely.

Bar-by-Bar Structural Map

Major Swing Lows (SL)

SL1: 0.455 (Apr capitulation low)
SL2: 0.480 (May re-accumulation)
SL3: 0.495 (Jul continuation low)
SL4: 0.530 (Aug pullback)
SL5: 0.555–0.560 (Oct higher low cluster)

Major Swing Highs (SH)

SH1: 0.515 (Feb)
SH2: 0.510 → BOS (Apr recovery)
SH3: 0.550 (Aug breakout)
SH4: 0.580 (Sep breakout)
SH5: 0.590 (Oct/Nov liquidity sweep)

Market Structure Notes

Structure remains bullish above 0.560.
A daily close below 0.560 = CHoCH, signaling a possible shift into distribution.

Advanced Volume–Price Relationship (VPR)

Absorption Zones

0.455–0.480: High volume, small candle spreads → accumulation.
Aug pullback to 0.530: Volume contraction → lack of selling pressure → continuation move.

Volume Divergence

From 0.580 → 0.590, price made new highs while volume declined → weakening demand.

Volume Expansion on Breakouts

Breakouts at 0.510, 0.550, 0.580 showed healthy volume, confirming real orders.

Institutional Footprint Recognition

Liqudity Grab

The wick above 0.590 is a textbook stop-run engineered by smart money:
- Price swept above prior SH.
- Immediately rejected.
- Closed back inside structure.

Order Blocks

Bullish OB: 0.530–0.540 (Aug).
Bearish OB: 0.580–0.590 (Nov supply zone).

Fair Value Gaps (FVG)

Minor FVGs filled during Jul–Sep trend; no large unfilled gaps remain → trend was structurally efficient.

Bar Pattern Analysis

Reversal Signals

A small cluster of spinning tops near 0.590 = indecision at resistance.
No meaningful bearish engulfing yet → sellers not fully aggressive.

Continuation Signals

Multiple inside bars during Jul–Aug pullbacks → energy coil → breakout continuation.

Multi-Timeframe Confluence

(Higher timeframe inferred from daily structure)

Weekly shows resistance at 0.600, meaning daily compression under 0.590 is normal.
A weekly close above 0.600 = large timeframe BOS → 0.640 becomes next target.

Psychological + Structural Levels

0.600 = major psychological & structural ceiling.
0.560 = strong daily support.
0.530 = prior breakout level, strong HTF demand.

Risk-Adjusted Setup Mapping

Bullish Setup (High-Probability)

Buy Zone: 0.560–0.565
Stop: Below 0.550
Target 1: 0.590
Target 2: 0.600–0.610
RR: ~1:2.5 to 1:3

Bearish Setup (Only on Breakdown)

Trigger only if Daily CHoCH confirmed:

Sell Trigger: Break & close below 0.560
Target: 0.530
Stop: Above 0.575
RR: ~1:2.2

Forward-Looking Bias

Primary Bias: Mildly Bullish

As long as 0.560 holds, the market remains in a bullish structure despite momentum fatigue.

Key Levels to Watch

Level	Role
0.590–0.600	Major supply & liquidity resistance
0.580	Mid-range control price
0.560	Structural support (must hold)
0.530	Strong HTF demand if deeper pullback

Expected Path

Base case: Consolidation 0.560–0.590, followed by a breakout attempt.
Breakout confirmation requires strong volume above 0.600.
Weak breakout → likely trap, leading to retest of 0.560.

Conclusion

Starhill Global REIT remains in a controlled uptrend but is currently in late-stage trend compression. Institutional accumulation is clear at lower levels, but current price action shows signs of profit-taking and supply absorption near 0.590–0.600.

Hold or buy dips (0.560 area) remains the higher-probability strategy. A strong breakout above 0.600 will transition the chart into an impulsive expansion phase.

Friday, November 21, 2025

Nam Lee Metal -21 Nov 2025

1. Market Structure & Order Flow Analysis

Swing Structure Mapping

Major SLs: 0.290 → 0.310 → 0.340 → 0.370 → 0.450 → 0.500 → 0.540
Major SHs: 0.340 → 0.400 → 0.505 → 0.540 → 0.580

Clear higher highs and higher lows → robust uptrend.

Break of Structure (BOS)

BOS at 0.370 → 0.400 (early May)
BOS at 0.450 → 0.505 (July)
BOS at 0.540 → 0.580 (late Oct)

Each BOS is followed by shallow retracements, confirming strong demand.

Momentum Decay

Signs of trend slowing:

Recent candles near 0.560–0.580 show overlapping ranges
Wider wicks with smaller real bodies
Volume thinning at highs

This signals compression, not a reversal yet.

2. Volume–Price Relationship (VPR)

Absorption

Repeated small-bodied bars on elevated volume around:

0.540
0.565

→ Strong hands absorbing supply before marking up.

Breakout Volume

Breakout into 0.580 lacked decisive expansion → low-confidence breakout, susceptible to pullback retest.

Volume Divergence

Price makes new highs (0.580), but:

Volume is lower than July–Sep breakout periods
→ Momentum losing strength; bulls want refreshed participation.

3. Institutional Footprint Recognition

Liquidity Grabs

Notable wicks:

Upward wick near 0.580 → swept liquidity, failed to follow through.
Downward wick near 0.500 → stop-hunt before continuation.

Order Blocks

Bullish order block around 0.500–0.515 (origin of September markup)
Re-accumulation OB at 0.540–0.550

These zones are where institutions defended price.

Fair Value Gaps (FVG)

Small FVGs left in:

0.515–0.525
0.545–0.550

Price tends to revisit these areas during micro pullbacks—healthy.

4. Bar Pattern Recognition

Continuation Patterns

Multiple tight inside bar clusters at 0.540 in early November → compression before attempt at breakout.
Rising micro flags at:
- 0.400
- 0.505
- 0.540

Each flag broke upward until momentum slowed at 0.580.

Reversal Bars

None major yet.
Some spinning tops near 0.565 indicate hesitation, not reversal.

5. Multi-Timeframe Confluence

Higher timeframe (weekly):

Smooth uptrend with no major supply until 0.60–0.62 region.
Daily aligns with weekly → bias remains up, unless SL 0.540 breaks.

6. Psychological Levels

Key levels:

0.50 (major round number, defended strongly)
0.55
0.58
0.60 (next major institutional magnet)

Price is struggling just below 0.580, indicating supply and trapped breakout buyers.

7. Risk-Adjusted Setup Identification

Most Important Levels

Support (demand zones):

0.540 – must hold for uptrend continuation
0.500 – major structural support
0.450 – trend invalidation zone

Resistance (supply zones):

0.580 – immediate resistance
0.600–0.620 – next upside target zone

High-Probability Setup

Scenario A – Bullish Breakout Setup

Trigger: Break above 0.580 with rising volume
Stop: Below 0.550
Targets: 0.620, then 0.650
R:R ≈ 1:2 to 1:3

Scenario B – Re-accumulation Pullback Setup

Trigger: Pullback to 0.540 OB with absorption
Stop: Below 0.520
Target: Retest 0.580, then 0.600

This is currently the higher probability scenario.

8. Market Regime Summary

The stock is in uptrend compression, not distribution.
The overall structure remains bullish above 0.540.

Forward-Looking Bias & Key Levels to Watch

Bullish Bias (as long as 0.540 holds)

Key Watch Levels

0.580 breakout → critical
0.540 demand test → must hold
Volume → needs expansion for new highs
0.600–0.620 → medium-term upside target

Final Assessment

Nam Lee (G0I) shows:

Strong institutional accumulation since June
Healthy uptrend structure
Current consolidation likely a re-accumulation at highs
Break above 0.580 unlocks the next leg
Breakdown below 0.540 shifts regime to neutral / ranging