Venture - 18 Sep 2025

• Stock: Venture Corporation Limited (V03, SGX)

• Timeframe: Daily (approx. 9 months, Jan–Sep 2025)

• Bars in analysis period: ~180 trading days

• Last traded price: SGD 14.03

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2. Market Structure & Order Flow Analysis

• Trend Structure:

  • Swing Low (SL): 10.17 (Apr 2025) – major pivot low

  • Higher Lows (HL): 10.92 (Jun), 11.05 (Jul), 13.01 (Sep)

  • Swing Highs (SH): 13.10 (Feb), 13.05 (Mar), 12.78 (Apr), 14.03 (Sep high, new breakout)

  • BOS: Clear break above 13.10–13.05 supply zone in Aug → confirms bullish structural shift

  • Momentum: Strong trending with shallow pullbacks, indicative of institutional flow

• Institutional vs. Retail Behavior:

  • Absorption visible around 12.50–13.00 zone (tight price action + volume clusters in Aug before breakout)

  • Shake-out in Apr–May with false breakdown below 11.00 → reversed quickly with institutional absorption

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3. Advanced Volume-Price Relationship (VPR)

• High volume + small range (absorption): Repeated around 12.80–13.20, confirming strong hands defending breakout base

• Volume Expansion: Aug breakout above 12.50 had strong volume follow-through → institutional confirmation

• Volume Divergence: Recent highs forming with slightly lower relative volume → possible short-term exhaustion ahead

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4. Institutional Footprint Recognition

• Liquidity Grab: April sell-off to 10.17 was a liquidity sweep → flushed weak longs, re-accumulation followed

• Order Block: Bullish order block at 12.50–12.80 (last consolidation before impulsive rally)

• Displacement Moves: Aug–Sep rally = clean displacement, shallow retracements → institutional control

• Fair Value Gap (FVG): 12.80–13.20 gap zone remains untested → possible revisit if profit-taking triggers

---

5. Bar Pattern Recognition

• Continuation: Multiple inside bar complexes during Aug rally = energy build-up before breakouts

• Reversal Bars: April–May sell climax had hammer-type bars with huge volume → reversal confirmed

• Current zone: Sep candles = strong-bodied breakouts, no exhaustion wicks → trend continuation still intact

---

6. Multi-Timeframe Confluence

• Weekly: Strong bullish engulfing from July–Aug, breaking 6-month range → higher timeframe bias bullish

• Daily: Clear trend alignment with weekly → momentum intact

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7. Psychological Levels

• Round levels:

  • 14.00 just breached → potential psychological resistance turned support

  • 15.00 = next institutional magnet level

• ATR expansion: Current candles wider than prior months → volatility increasing in favor of trend continuation

---

8. Market Regime Classification

• Trending regime

  • Higher highs, higher lows

  • Strong follow-through on breakouts

  • Pullbacks remain shallow (23–38% retracements)

---

9. Institutional Supply/Demand Analysis

• Demand zones:

  • 12.50–13.00 (absorption & order block)

  • 11.00–11.20 (liquidity sweep reversal base)

• Supply zones:

  • Thin until 15.00 → major psychological supply overhead

---

10. Forward Bias & Execution Plan

• Bias: Bullish continuation until signs of exhaustion (divergence or failed retest)

• Key Levels:

  • Support: 13.00, 12.50

  • Resistance: 14.50, 15.00

  • Risk line: Below 12.80 (order block zone)

---

11. Trade Summary

• Setup: Buying V03 because of bullish BOS above 13.10 with institutional absorption at 12.50–13.00, confirmed by volume expansion.

• Stops: Below 12.80

• Targets: 15.00 (1st), 16.20 (2nd measured move)

• Risk-Reward: ~1:3

• Confidence Rating: 8/10

📌 Pre-trade checklist:

• Wait for retest of 13.80–14.00 breakout zone or continuation pattern confirmation

• Confirm volume expansion on next leg up

• Avoid entry on extended daily candles (chasing risk)

---

✅ Final View: Buying V03 because of structural breakout and institutional absorption at 12.80–13.00, with stops at 12.80 targeting 15.00 for 1:3 R:R.

Disclaimer:Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions.

Dividend:   5.35%

DBS - 17 Sep 2025

• Stock: DBS Group Holdings Ltd (D05.SGX)

• Timeframe: Daily (Jan 2025 – Sep 2025)

• Bars in analysis period: ~180 (YTD progression)

• Last traded price: SGD 51.47

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1. Market Structure & Order Flow

• Trend Structure:

  • Swing Low (SL): 43.12 (Feb), 43.92 (Apr), 43.02 (Jun)

  • Swing High (SH): 45.44 (Jan), 46.85 (Mar), 46.97 (Apr), 51.45 (Aug), 53.24 (Sep – YTD high).

  • Clear higher highs & higher lows from June onward → confirmed uptrend.

• Break of Structure (BOS): Occurred in Jul when price broke above 45.55 consolidation ceiling.

• Change of Character (CHoCH): Late Aug/early Sep as price broke prior swing high (51.45) into new territory.

• Momentum: Strong from Jul–Sep, but last 3 sessions show narrow bars with overlapping ranges → trend momentum slowing.

---

2. Volume-Price Relationship (VPR)

• Volume Expansion: Sharp spikes on downside April (distribution) and breakout July (accumulation).

• Absorption Evidence: July–Aug saw consistent buying with moderate volume but strong directional closes → institutional accumulation.

• Recent Volume: Declining during last push to 53.24 → volume divergence (higher price, lower volume = possible exhaustion).

---

3. Institutional Footprint

• Liquidity Grab: April breakdown below 44 flushed weak hands, quickly reversed → spring action (Wyckoff accumulation).

• Order Blocks: Key bullish order block around 43–45 zone (accumulation).

• Fair Value Gap (FVG): Open gap around 47–48 from Jul breakout → potential magnet on retracement.

• Displacement Moves: Jul–Aug rally was institutional with minimal retracement.

---

4. Bar Pattern Recognition

• August: Strong bullish wide-range bars confirmed breakout.

• September: Shooting star–like rejection at 53.24, followed by smaller-bodied candles = potential exhaustion top.

• Inside Bars: Several forming at 51–52 = coiling energy for next move.

---

5. Multi-Timeframe Confluence

• Weekly structure: Higher timeframe shows sustained bullish trend with fresh highs.

• Daily compression: Sideways at 51–52 consolidating near highs = either re-accumulation or distribution.

---

6. Psychological Levels

• Round numbers: 50 acted as strong breakout base; 55 is next psychological resistance.

• ATR Context: Recent daily bars show contraction → possible volatility expansion coming.

---

7. Market Regime Classification

• Current regime: Trending to transitional. Strong trend into Aug–Sep, now consolidating at highs.

---

8. Institutional Supply/Demand

• Demand zone: 47–48 (order block + FVG fill).

• Supply zone: 53–54 (recent high rejection + low volume at peak).

---

Key Observations

1. Uptrend intact but signs of exhaustion at 53.24 high.

2. Volume divergence (price up, volume down) → caution on continuation.

3. High-level consolidation at 51–52 may be re-accumulation or topping.

4. Institutional footprint shows demand zone 47–48 as key support.

5. Failure to reclaim 53.24 quickly would likely trigger retracement.

---

Trade Summary

• Bias: Selling D05 because price shows exhaustion near 53.24 with volume divergence

• Stops: Above 53.60 (failed breakout invalidation)

• Target: 48.00 (order block + FVG fill)

• Risk-Reward: ~1:3

• Confidence: 7/10

Key Levels to Watch:

• Support: 50.00, 48.00, 47.00

• Resistance: 53.24, 55.00

✅ Pre-Trade Checklist Reminder

• Confirm volume on breakdown below 51

• Monitor sector/market index correlation

• Size position per risk tolerance (≤2% risk rule)

Disclaimer:Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions.

Dividend:   4.72%%

OCBC - 15 Sep 2025

Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation Limited (O39.SI) – Daily Chart (SGX) covering Jan–Sep 2025 (~180 bars) with last traded price at SGD 16.82:

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1. Market Regime Classification

• Current Regime: Range-Bound / Transition

  • Price oscillating between 16.40–17.50 since June.

  • Failed breakout attempts above 17.45–17.93 (distribution signs).

  • Support repeatedly tested at 16.40–16.50 with absorption volume.

---

2. Market Structure & Order Flow

• Swing Highs (SH): 17.93 (Mar), 17.52 (Apr), 17.45 (Jul).

• Swing Lows (SL): 14.35 (Apr panic low), 15.80 (Jun), 16.50 (Aug).

• BOS/CHoCH:

  • April: Sharp BOS down → break below 16.40 (strong institutional dump).

  • June: CHoCH upward with reclaim above 16.40 → re-accumulation.

  • August–Sep: No HH formed → momentum decay, transitioning to sideways.

• Trend Momentum: Slowing; bar overlap increasing, range tightening around 16.70–16.90.

---

3. Volume–Price Relationship (VPR)

• April 2025: Capitulation volume with wide-range down bar to 14.35 (climactic sell → institutional buy absorption).

• July rally: Price to 17.45 on declining volume → volume divergence (weak follow-through).

• Aug–Sep consolidation: Volume compression at 16.60–16.90, suggests absorption accumulation.

---

4. Institutional Footprints

• Liquidity Grab: April low at 14.35 = clear stop-hunt under 16.35–16.40 liquidity pool.

• Order Blocks:

  • Bullish OB: 15.80–16.00 zone (June demand origin).

  • Bearish OB: 17.40–17.60 zone (July supply origin).

• Fair Value Gaps: Gaps created April crash (16.20–15.00) mostly filled by July rally.

• Accumulation/Distribution: Current structure resembles Wyckoff re-accumulation between 16.40–17.50.

---

5. Bar Pattern Recognition

• April: Wide-range outside bar (institutional shakeout).

• July top: Multiple upper-wick rejection bars → supply dominance.

• Recent action (Sep): Small-bodied indecision bars (spinning tops, dojis) at mid-range → compression before expansion.

---

6. Multi-Timeframe Confluence

• Weekly chart bias (higher TF): Still in sideways channel 16.00–18.00.

• Daily chart (this analysis): Trading near mid-range; no trend confirmation yet.

• Intraday (lower TF): Flat structure, awaiting breakout.

---

7. Psychological Levels

• Round Numbers:

  • 17.00 = repeated rejection, strong psychological ceiling.

  • 16.50 = short-term pivot, support repeatedly defended.

• ATR: Current bar ranges compressed ~0.15–0.20 vs earlier ~0.40–0.60 → volatility contraction.

---

8. Risk-Adjusted Setup Zones

• Bullish scenario:

  • Entry near 16.60–16.70 absorption zone.

  • Stop below 16.40 (structural SL).

  • Target 17.50 (supply test).

  • Risk-Reward: ~1:3.

• Bearish scenario:

  • Breakdown below 16.40 with volume expansion.

  • Stop above 16.70.

  • Target 15.80 then 15.00.

  • Risk-Reward: ~1:2.

---

9. Key Conviction Observations

1. April crash + recovery = institutional accumulation footprint.

2. Declining volume on July rally = weak hands buying, distribution zone.

3. Current 16.60–16.90 consolidation = smart money absorption before expansion.

4. Price coiling tightly with volatility squeeze = imminent directional move.

---

🔑 Key Levels to Watch

• Support: 16.40, 15.80, 14.35

• Resistance: 17.00, 17.45, 17.93

---

📌 Trade Summary

[Buying] O39.SI because price is consolidating above key 16.40 demand zone with signs of absorption, with stops at 16.35 targeting 17.50 for ~1:3 R:R.
Confidence Rating: 7/10

✅ Checklist Before Execution:

• Wait for breakout volume confirmation (>2x avg daily volume).

• Avoid entry inside tight 16.60–16.90 chop zone.

• Define stop beyond structural low (not arbitrary %).

• Scale partials near 17.00 psychological resistance.

Disclaimer:Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions.

Dividend:   5.05

SIA - 12 Sep 2025

• Stock: Singapore Airlines Ltd. (SGX: C6L)

• Timeframe: Daily (1D)

• Analysis Period: ~9 months (Jan 2025 – Aug 2025), ~170–180 bars

• Last Traded Price: 6.54 SGD (26 Aug 2025)

---

1. Market Structure & Order Flow

• Trend Structure:

  • Swing Highs (SH): 6.94 (Mar), 6.87 (Apr), 7.18 (Jun), 7.63 (Jul).

  • Swing Lows (SL): 6.25 (Feb), 5.90 (Apr), 6.68 (Jun), 6.50 (Aug).

  • Clear higher high structure from Apr → Jul, but trend broke down after 7.63 top (July).

  • Current price is consolidating near 6.50 support, suggesting potential range-bound market after an uptrend exhaustion.

• Break of Structure (BOS):

  • BOS occurred after 7.63 → 6.50 drop in Aug with high volume, signaling distribution phase.

• Momentum Decay:

  • Noticeable smaller bar ranges and overlapping candles post-August → confirming loss of momentum.

---

2. Volume-Price Relationship (VPR)

• High Volume + Wide Range:

  • April selloff into 5.90 low = panic selling + institutional absorption (spring action).

• Volume Clusters:

  • July rally into 7.63 accompanied by increasing volume → institutional push.

  • August breakdown with high volume = distribution confirmed.

• Volume Divergence:

  • June–July highs (7.18 → 7.63) had less aggressive volume expansion, signaling weaker participation near top.

---

3. Institutional Footprints

• Liquidity Grab:

  • Sharp April drop below 6.00 → liquidity grab, reversed quickly (spring action).

• Order Block Formation:

  • 6.50–6.60 zone now acting as demand/order block where accumulation/distribution tests occur.

• Fair Value Gap (FVG):

  • Gap-like inefficiency in Apr selloff (6.57 → 5.90) later retraced fully.

---

4. Bar Pattern Recognition

• Reversal Bars:

  • April low (5.90) showed a hammer-like reversal with climactic volume.

• Continuation Bars:

  • July rally had multiple bullish marubozu candles, strong conviction.

• Indecision Bars:

  • August–September consolidation near 6.50–6.60 shows multiple dojis and spinning tops → stalling, waiting for direction.

---

5. Multi-Timeframe Confluence

• Weekly Chart (HTF bias): Still in long-term uptrend since 2023, but current daily timeframe is in distribution/consolidation phase.

• Daily Support/Resistance Zones:

  • Major resistance: 7.20 – 7.63

  • Major support: 6.50 – 5.90

---

6. Psychological & Key Levels

• Round Number Levels: 6.50 (holding as support), 7.00 (psychological barrier).

• ATR Context: Current daily ATR ~0.15–0.20 → range contraction signals volatility squeeze.

---

7. Market Regime Classification

• Current Regime: Transition from Uptrend → Range/Distribution.

• Volatility increased on breakdown, now settling into sideways consolidation near 6.50.

---

8. Risk-Adjusted Setup Identification

• High-Probability Zone:

  • Long only if 6.50 holds with volume absorption → target back to 6.80–7.00.

  • Short if 6.50 breaks on strong volume → downside target 6.25 → 5.90.

• Stops:

  • Long setup → stop below 6.40

  • Short setup → stop above 6.70

• Risk/Reward:

  • Long setup = 1:2.5 (Entry: 6.55 / Stop: 6.40 / Target: 7.00).

  • Short setup = 1:2 (Entry: 6.48 / Stop: 6.70 / Target: 6.00).

---

📊 Trade Summary

Selling C6L because price failed to hold above 6.63 after distribution from 7.63 top, with stops at 6.70 targeting 6.00 for 1:2 RRR.
Confidence Rating: 7/10

• Key Levels to Watch: 6.50 (support), 6.00 (major demand zone), 7.00 (psychological resistance).

---

✅ Pre-Trade Checklist

• Confirm HTF structure bias

• Watch for volume confirmation near 6.50

• ATR check (low volatility → breakout incoming)

• News catalyst alignment

Disclaimer:Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions.

Dividend:  7.34%

Guocoland - 12 Sep 2025

• Stock Name & Ticker: GuocoLand Limited (SGX: F17)

• Chart Timeframe & Date Range: Daily, Jan–Sep 2025

• Number of Bars: ~180 daily bars

• Last Traded Price (12 Sep 2025): SGD 2.01

• Range Covered: Low 1.35 → High 2.03

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🔎 Market Structure & Order Flow

• Trend Structure:

  • Early 2025: Range-bound (1.43–1.50) with flat structure.

  • Apr 2025: Sharp sell-off to 1.35, creating structural swing low (SL).

  • May–Jun: Base around 1.41–1.45.

  • Jul–Sep: Explosive bullish trend with higher highs/lows → 1.77 → 2.01.

• Break of Structure (BOS):

  • BOS above 1.50 (June), confirming upside shift.

  • Secondary BOS at 1.77 (Aug), continuation of trend.

• Momentum:

  • Bars show wide ranges + strong follow-through.

  • Minimal overlapping → strong trend conviction.

  • Momentum remains intact; no major CHoCH (change of character) yet.

---

📈 Volume–Price Relationship (VPR)

• Accumulation Zone: Jan–Jun → Low volume with flat structure (institutional quiet accumulation).

• Breakout Volume: Jul upward breakout from 1.50 accompanied by volume expansion, confirming institutional drive.

• Absorption Evidence: Several sessions with large volume but limited downside progress, showing strong hands absorbing selling.

• Volume Divergence: Current push to 2.01 still supported by higher volume → no divergence yet.

---

🏦 Institutional Footprints

• Liquidity Grab: Sharp April dip to 1.35 likely a stop sweep before rally (classic Wyckoff spring).

• Order Block: 1.40–1.45 region represents the last bearish order block before rally.

• Fair Value Gap (FVG): Between 1.55–1.65 (thin liquidity zone), may be retested in future.

• Displacement Move: July rally was a displacement leg (fast repricing) → institutional footprint.

---

🕯 Bar Pattern Recognition

• Continuation: Multiple bullish marubozu-style candles July–Sep → strong trend bars.

• Pullbacks: Shallow retracements (<38%) → trend continuation typical.

• No Strong Reversal Bars Yet: No major bearish engulfing or supply tails; bulls still control.

---

⏳ Multi-Timeframe Confluence

• Daily (shown): Strong uptrend intact.

• Weekly Bias: Likely showing a major breakout from multi-year base.

• Monthly Bias: Transition from accumulation to markup phase.

• Confluence: Bullish across higher timeframes.

---

💵 Psychological Levels

• Round Numbers:

  • 2.00 tested and slightly breached (2.03). Key psychological battleground.

  • Next upside magnet: 2.20 (major round).

• Supports:

  • 1.90 (minor)

  • 1.77 (major breakout level)

  • 1.50 (structural base support).

---

📊 Risk-Adjusted Setup

• Trend Regime: Strong trending (markup phase).

• Optimal Entry: Pullback toward 1.90–1.95 zone with absorption.

• Stops: Below 1.77 (trend invalidation).

• Targets: 2.20 (short-term), 2.35–2.40 (medium-term).

• Risk–Reward: Entry 1.95 → Stop 1.77 → Target 2.20 = ~1:1.4. Extended target 2.35 = 1:2.2.

---

🎯 Forward-Looking Bias

• Bias: Bullish continuation until 2.20 unless sharp rejection appears at 2.00–2.05.

• Key Watchpoints:

  • Can price hold above 2.00 psychological level?

  • Does volume sustain, or do we see drying up with exhaustion tails?

  • Watch 1.95 → demand test zone.

---

✅ Trade Summary

Buying GuocoLand (F17) because of strong institutional-led breakout above 1.77 with absorption at higher levels, with stops at 1.77 targeting 2.20–2.35 for a 1:1.4 to 1:2.2 risk-reward ratio.
Confidence Rating: 8.5/10
Key Levels: Support 1.77 / 1.90, Resistance 2.20 / 2.35

Checklist Before Execution:

• Confirm volume expansion at 2.00 breakout.

• Wait for pullback to 1.90–1.95 zone for risk-defined entry.

• Track sector/market correlation for relative strength confirmation.

Disclaimer:Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions.

Dividend:   2.99%

Keppel Corp - 12 Sep 2025

Keppel Ltd (SGX: BN4) on the Daily timeframe

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1. Market Structure & Order Flow

• Trend Structure:

  • Clear uptrend from Apr 2025 low at 5.61.

  • Higher Highs (HH): 6.89 → 6.97 → 6.90 → 8.84.

  • Higher Lows (HL): 6.57 → 6.90 → 7.50 → 8.40 (approx).

• Break of Structure (BOS): July breakout above 7.00–7.10 resistance turned into accelerated rally.

• Current Phase: Since Aug peak at 8.84, price is consolidating sideways in tight range 8.50–8.84.

• Momentum Decay: Recent daily bars show smaller ranges with overlapping closes → early signs of trend exhaustion / absorption.

---

2. Volume-Price Relationship (VPR)

• April–July: Wide range up-bars with volume expansion = institutional accumulation and breakout drive.

• August top (8.84): Spike in volume with long wicks → potential climactic buying and retail FOMO.

• Current (Sep): Noticeable volume dry-up while price holds near highs → suggests absorption (institutions accumulating supply) rather than immediate reversal.

• Key Note: If breakout occurs, need volume expansion > average to confirm institutional push.

---

3. Institutional Footprints

• Liquidity Grab: April washout at 5.61 (large red bar with capitulation volume) → classic spring/shakeout.

• Order Blocks:

  • Bullish OB at 6.50–6.70 (pre-rally consolidation).

  • New OB forming around 8.40–8.50 (support base for potential breakout).

• Fair Value Gap (FVG): May rally left untested inefficiencies between 7.00–7.30 – possible revisit if breakdown.

• Displacement Moves: The May–July run was sharp with little retracement → pure institutional pressure.

---

4. Bar Pattern Recognition

• Reversal Signs:

  • No confirmed bearish engulfing yet, but Aug candle with rejection near 8.84 is a cautionary supply signal.

• Continuation Signs:

  • Multiple inside bars forming near 8.65 → coiled energy for potential breakout.

• Indecision: Repeated small-bodied candles near highs = tug of war.

---

5. Multi-Timeframe Confluence

• Weekly: Strong bullish structure with minor pause.

• Daily: Sideways range = compression.

• Bias: Higher timeframe trend bullish → daily range is likely re-accumulation unless breakdown below 8.40.

---

6. Psychological & Key Levels

• Round numbers: 9.00 is next psychological magnet.

• Support: 8.40 (short-term), 8.00 (medium-term).

• Resistance: 8.84 (swing high), 9.00 (round number).

• ATR: Current daily ATR compressed to ~0.20–0.25 → volatility contraction.

---

7. Market Regime

• Primary: Uptrend.

• Current Micro: Transition phase → consolidation after rally.

• Implication: Next expansion likely to define direction.

---

8. Risk-Adjusted Trade Setup

• Bullish Scenario (higher probability):

  • Breakout >8.84 with volume expansion → targets 9.20–9.50.

• Bearish Scenario (less likely, but possible):

  • Breakdown <8.40 → test of 8.00, then 7.50.

• Stops: For longs, place below 8.35; for shorts, above 8.90 if fading.

• Risk-Reward: Long setup offers ~1:3 toward 9.50 if supported by breakout volume.

---

🔑 Trade Summary

Buying BN4 (Keppel Ltd) because consolidation near highs with volume absorption suggests re-accumulation; stops at 8.35 targeting 9.20–9.50 for 1:3 RR.
Confidence Rating: 7/10 (bullish bias, but breakout confirmation needed).

Key Levels to Watch:

• Support: 8.40 / 8.00

• Resistance: 8.84 / 9.00 / 9.50

• Catalyst Watch: Earnings-related follow-through & sector strength

📋 Checklist Before Execution:

• Confirm breakout with above-average volume

• Align trade with weekly uptrend bias

• Manage risk with stop below consolidation floor

Disclaimer:Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions.

Dividend:   3.93%

Genting SP - 11 Sep 2025

• Stock Name & Ticker: Genting Singapore Limited (SGX: G13)

• Chart Timeframe: Daily (1D)

• Date Range Shown: Jan 2025 – Sep 2025

• Bars in Period: ~180 trading days

• Last Traded Price: SGD 0.760

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1. Market Structure & Order Flow

• Swing Highs (SH): 0.785 (Jan, Apr, Sep), 0.775 (Mar), 0.770 (Jun).

• Swing Lows (SL): 0.660 (Apr), 0.680 (Jun), 0.690 (Jul).

• Trend:

  • Broader range-bound structure between 0.66–0.78.

  • Higher lows since June (0.680 → 0.690 → 0.725), signaling gradual accumulation.

• Break of Structure (BOS): August breakout above 0.750, retested as support.

• Change of Character (CHoCH): April–June downtrend transitioned into July–September accumulation → breakout attempt.

---

2. Advanced Volume-Price Relationship (VPR)

• High Volume + Small Range: Seen near 0.700 and 0.725 – absorption zones (institutional buying).

• High Volume + Wide Range: Sharp drop in April to 0.660 = panic selling climax, absorbed quickly.

• Volume Divergence: Rising price since July, but volume has not expanded strongly – breakout needs validation.

• Volume Expansion: Noticeable pickup on recent breakout over 0.750 = institutional interest.

---

3. Institutional Footprints

• Liquidity Grabs: Repeated sweeps of 0.725 before reversal = retail stop hunts.

• Order Block: April’s strong bullish candle off 0.660 (institutional defense).

• Fair Value Gap: 0.690–0.710 zone remains a prior inefficiency; possible retest if breakout fails.

• Accumulation: Wyckoff-style accumulation from May–August (spring at 0.680, test at 0.725, breakout at 0.750).

---

4. Bar Pattern Recognition

• Pin Bars: Multiple rejection wicks at 0.785 (resistance holding firm).

• Engulfing Patterns: July bullish engulfing at 0.690 = key reversal point.

• Inside Bars: Seen before the breakout at 0.750 – coiling energy.

---

5. Multi-Timeframe Confluence

• Weekly Chart Bias (higher timeframe): Still in range (0.660–0.785).

• Daily Bias: Short-term bullish above 0.750, but resistance-heavy at 0.780–0.785.

• Compression: Daily breakout aligns with weekly resistance → decision point.

---

6. Psychological Levels

• 0.700 / 0.750 / 0.800 = key psychological reference points.

• Current ATR: ~0.015–0.020 (normal volatility).

---

7. Risk-Adjusted Setup

• Support Zone: 0.740–0.750.

• Resistance Zone: 0.780–0.785.

• Setup: Long above 0.750 with stop under 0.740; target 0.785–0.800.

• Risk-Reward: ~1:2 if stop at 0.740 and target at 0.800.

---

8. Market Regime

• Ranging Regime → Transitioning to Breakout Attempt.

• Still not a clean trend until a decisive daily close above 0.785.

---

9. Institutional Supply/Demand

• Demand Zone: 0.725–0.740 (tested and held).

• Supply Zone: 0.780–0.785 (persistent rejection).

• Effort vs. Result: Rising volume on recent up-leg, but price stalled at resistance → possible absorption before breakout.

---

🔮 Forward-Looking Bias

• Breakout above 0.785 with volume expansion = start of new trend (target 0.820–0.850).

• Failure to break = reversion to 0.740–0.750 support zone.

---

🎯 Trade Summary

Buying Genting Singapore (SGX: G13) because of breakout attempt above 0.750 with institutional accumulation confirmed, with stops at 0.740 targeting 0.800–0.820 for ~1:2 R/R.

• Confidence Rating: 6.5 / 10 (needs breakout confirmation).

• Key Levels to Watch: Support 0.740 / 0.725; Resistance 0.785 / 0.800.

📌 Pre-Trade Checklist:

• Confirm daily close above 0.785 with volume expansion

• Check sector/market correlation

• Adjust position size to risk ≤1% of capital

Disclaimer:Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions.

Dividend:   5.26

UOB - 10 Sep 2025

• Stock: United Overseas Bank Limited (U11.SI, SGX)

• Timeframe: Daily (D1)

• Date Range: Jan 2025 – Sep 10, 2025

• Bars in Period: ~180 sessions

• Last Price: 35.48 SGD

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1. Market Structure & Order Flow

• Trend Structure:

  • Early 2025 uptrend into 39.20 high (Mar 2025) → followed by sharp breakdown into 29.00 low (Apr 2025).

  • Post-April: strong rebound, but capped repeatedly near 36–37 zone → market is in a broad range regime (34.00 – 37.50).

• Swing Highs (SH): 37.94, 39.20, 38.98, 38.55, 37.36, 36.58.

• Swing Lows (SL): 36.46, 36.64, 29.00 (capitulation low), 34.00, 34.51, 34.56.

• BOS/CHoCH:

  • BOS (bullish) from 29.00 to 36.80 (Apr–May recovery).

  • CHoCH in Aug with lower highs and failure at 36.58.

• Current Regime: Ranging/Transitional → overlapping price structure with reduced momentum.

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2. Volume–Price Relationship (VPR)

• April 2025: Extreme wide-range down bar with massive volume → institutional capitulation/shake-out at 29.00.

• Rebound Volume: Strong demand absorption (thick green volume bars, Apr–May).

• Recent Bars (Aug–Sep): Lower volume + small spreads → institutional inactivity, market waiting mode.

• Volume Divergence: Rising price into Aug highs (36.58) but declining volume → weakening demand, foreshadowing pullback.

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3. Institutional Footprints

• Liquidity Grab: Break below 34.00 (May) quickly reversed upward → spring-type Wyckoff action.

• Order Blocks:

  • Bullish OB: 34.00–34.50 zone (May low cluster).

  • Bearish OB: 36.50–37.00 zone (Aug–Sep failed rallies).

• Fair Value Gaps: April crash → large imbalance between 33.00–30.00, partly unfilled.

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4. Bar Pattern Recognition

• April Reversal: Wide red → immediate bullish engulfing cluster (institutional reversal signature).

• Inside Bar Compression: July–Aug inside bar cluster before minor breakout to 37.36.

• Recent Bars (Sep): Small-bodied indecision candles → market in transition awaiting catalyst.

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5. Multi-Timeframe Confluence

• Weekly Bias: Sideways consolidation between 34.00 and 37.50.

• Daily Bias: Currently mid-range, neutral.

• Confluence Zone: 34.50–34.00 demand cluster aligning on both weekly & daily.

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6. Psychological Levels

• Round numbers: 35.00 acting as equilibrium pivot.

• Range boundaries: 34.00 (demand) vs. 37.50 (supply).

• ATR suggests normal 1.00–1.20 SGD daily swings.

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7. Risk-Adjusted Setup

• High Probability Zone:

  • Longs near 34.00–34.50 demand cluster, stop below 33.80.

  • Shorts near 36.80–37.50 supply, stop above 37.80.

• Targets:

  • Long → 36.50 (R:R ≈ 1:3).

  • Short → 34.50 (R:R ≈ 1:2.5).

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8. Market Regime

• Classification: Ranging / Distributional Bias.

• Price trapped between institutional supply at 37.00+ and demand at 34.00.

• Frequent false breakouts → retail whipsaw environment.

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9. Institutional Supply/Demand

• Demand Zone: 34.00–34.50 → strong absorption from April rebound.

• Supply Zone: 36.50–37.50 → repeated rejections with absorption.

• Effort vs. Result: Large volume at 37.00 but no follow-through → smart money distributing.

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🎯 Trade Summary

• Bias: Range-bound, fade extremes.

• Setup:

  • Buying U11 near 34.00 because it is an institutional demand zone, with stops at 33.80, targeting 36.50 for a 1:3 R:R.

  • Selling U11 near 37.00 because of repeated institutional absorption, with stops at 37.80, targeting 34.50 for a 1:2.5 R:R.

• Confidence: 7/10 (range trading clarity, but requires patience).

• Key Levels to Watch: 34.00, 34.50, 35.00 pivot, 36.50, 37.50.

📋 Pre-Execution Checklist:
☑ Confirm volume at entry zone (look for absorption/reversal bar).
☑ Avoid chasing mid-range price (low edge zone).
☑ Align with higher timeframe confirmation (weekly closes).
☑ Size position for stop distance, not emotional conviction.

Disclaimer:Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions.

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