Technical Analysis of GLOBAL TESTING (SGX: AYN) - Daily Chart
1. Trend Analysis
- Current Trend: The stock has been in a downtrend from mid-2023 to early 2024, with lower highs and lower lows. However, a recent uptrend started from early 2024.
- Recent Structure:
- Downtrend: Lower highs of 1.37 → 1.32 → 1.21 → 1.13 with corresponding lower lows.
- Trend Shift: Price found support around 0.79 - 0.80 and has been climbing since early 2024.
- Uptrend Signs: Recent higher lows at 0.84 → 0.90 → 0.93 and higher highs at 1.00 → 1.08 → 1.06.
- Potential Weakness? Some bars have long wicks, indicating profit-taking or selling pressure.
2. Key Price Action Signals
- Strong Trend Bars:
- Recent bullish bars with strong closes near highs, confirming buying pressure.
- The breakout above 1.00 was accompanied by good momentum.
- Reversal Patterns:
- A double bottom formation around 0.79 - 0.80, signaling a trend reversal.
- Recent consolidation between 0.90 - 1.00 before breaking out.
- Doji Bars (Indecision): Some dojis and long-wick bars near 1.08, showing hesitation in further bullish continuation.
3. Support & Resistance Levels
- Support Zones:
- 0.79 - 0.80 (Major support; bounce initiated from here).
- 0.90 - 0.93 (Recent pullback levels).
- 1.00 - 1.01 (Psychological round number and prior resistance-turned-support).
- Resistance Zones:
- 1.08 (Recent high).
- 1.13 - 1.20 (Previous lower high zone; potential resistance).
- 1.32 - 1.37 (Major resistance from 2023).
4. Breakout & Pullback Analysis
- Breakouts:
- The breakout above 1.00 was strong, followed by steady momentum.
- A weaker breakout attempt at 1.08 (long upper wick indicates possible exhaustion).
- Pullbacks:
- Pullback to 0.90 held as support.
- Recent price movement suggests possible bullish flag formation.
5. Market Context & Trading Bias
- Current Market Phase: Transitioning from a downtrend to an uptrend.
- Potential Trend Shift?:
- If the price stays above 1.00, a new bullish leg is likely.
- A break above 1.08 - 1.13 could confirm bullish continuation.
- Failure to hold above 1.00 could result in another bearish move.
6. Supply, Demand & Liquidity Analysis
- Buying Strength: Increasing volume in the recent rally suggests institutional interest.
- Selling Pressure: Selling near 1.08, leading to wicks and potential consolidation.
7. Risk Management & Trade Plan
-
Bullish Trade Setup:
- Entry: On pullback to 1.00 - 1.02 or breakout above 1.08.
- Stop-loss: Below 0.98 (if buying pullback) or below 1.05 (if trading breakout).
- Target: 1.13 - 1.20 for potential profit.
-
Bearish Trade Setup:
- Entry: If price fails to hold 1.00 and closes below 0.98.
- Stop-loss: Above 1.06.
- Target: 0.90 - 0.84.
Final Thoughts
- The recent uptrend is encouraging, but 1.08 - 1.13 is a key resistance zone.
- A strong breakout above 1.08 - 1.13 could signal further bullish momentum.
- Holding above 1.00 is critical for sustained bullish sentiment.
Disclaimer:Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions.
Dividend: 4.76%
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