Monday, March 17, 2025

Delfi - 17 Mar 2025

Stock Analysis: Delfi Limited (SGX: P34) – 1D Chart Review

1. Trend Analysis

  • Overall Trend: The stock is in a downtrend, with clear lower highs and lower lows since mid-2023.
  • Lower Highs & Lower Lows:
    • Lower highs: 1.390 → 1.320 → 1.170 → 1.130 → 0.960
    • Lower lows: 1.050 → 1.120 → 1.030 → 0.885 → 0.725
  • Trend Weakness?
    • Recently, price action has started stabilizing between 0.725 and 0.800.
    • Consolidation with overlapping bars suggests possible trend exhaustion.

2. Key Price Action Signals

  • Strong Trend Bars:
    • The price had a sharp drop from 1.130 to 0.960, indicating strong selling pressure.
    • Another key bearish move was from 1.040 to 0.885.
  • Reversal Signals:
    • A double bottom near 0.725–0.755 hints at a possible bounce.
    • Some long lower wicks suggest buyers are stepping in.
  • Inside Bars & Doji Patterns:
    • Consolidation between 0.755 and 0.800 shows indecision.

3. Support & Resistance Levels

  • Major Resistance:
    • 0.800 (psychological resistance)
    • 0.880–0.900 (previous breakdown level)
    • 1.040 (major breakdown level)
  • Major Support:
    • 0.725 (recent swing low)
    • 0.770–0.780 (local support area)

4. Breakout & Pullback Analysis

  • Weak Breakouts:
    • Past breakouts failed to hold above resistance levels (e.g., 1.130 → 0.960).
  • Potential Pullbacks:
    • If the price breaks above 0.800, it may test 0.880.
    • If it fails, it could retest 0.725 or drop lower.

5. Market Context & Trading Bias

  • Bias: Bearish-to-Neutral
    • While the stock has been in a long downtrend, the recent consolidation suggests possible accumulation.
    • Needs a strong breakout above 0.800 for confirmation of trend reversal.
  • Trader Psychology:
    • Buyers are attempting to defend 0.725–0.755.
    • Sellers remain in control unless price reclaims 0.880+.

6. Supply & Demand & Liquidity Analysis

  • Supply Zone:
    • 0.880–0.960 (heavy selling pressure area).
  • Demand Zone:
    • 0.725–0.755 (buyers showing interest).
  • Volume Consideration:
    • Increasing volume on dips suggests accumulation.
    • Breakout with volume above 0.800 could trigger buying momentum.

7. Risk Management Strategy

  • Entry:
    • Bullish: If price breaks above 0.800 with volume, target 0.880.
    • Bearish: If price fails at 0.800, short with a target of 0.725.
  • Stop-Loss:
    • For longs: Below 0.750.
    • For shorts: Above 0.820.
  • Profit Targets:
    • 0.880 (short-term resistance)
    • 1.040 (major trend reversal point)

Final Thoughts

  • Current Trend: Downtrend but stabilizing.
  • Potential Setup: Watch for a breakout above 0.800 or rejection for shorting.
  • Risk Management: Use stop-losses to minimize downside risk.

Disclaimer:Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions.

Dividend:   6.64%



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