Stock Analysis: Delfi Limited (SGX: P34) – 1D Chart Review
1. Trend Analysis
- Overall Trend: The stock is in a downtrend, with clear lower highs and lower lows since mid-2023.
- Lower Highs & Lower Lows:
- Lower highs: 1.390 → 1.320 → 1.170 → 1.130 → 0.960
- Lower lows: 1.050 → 1.120 → 1.030 → 0.885 → 0.725
- Trend Weakness?
- Recently, price action has started stabilizing between 0.725 and 0.800.
- Consolidation with overlapping bars suggests possible trend exhaustion.
2. Key Price Action Signals
- Strong Trend Bars:
- The price had a sharp drop from 1.130 to 0.960, indicating strong selling pressure.
- Another key bearish move was from 1.040 to 0.885.
- Reversal Signals:
- A double bottom near 0.725–0.755 hints at a possible bounce.
- Some long lower wicks suggest buyers are stepping in.
- Inside Bars & Doji Patterns:
- Consolidation between 0.755 and 0.800 shows indecision.
3. Support & Resistance Levels
- Major Resistance:
- 0.800 (psychological resistance)
- 0.880–0.900 (previous breakdown level)
- 1.040 (major breakdown level)
- Major Support:
- 0.725 (recent swing low)
- 0.770–0.780 (local support area)
4. Breakout & Pullback Analysis
- Weak Breakouts:
- Past breakouts failed to hold above resistance levels (e.g., 1.130 → 0.960).
- Potential Pullbacks:
- If the price breaks above 0.800, it may test 0.880.
- If it fails, it could retest 0.725 or drop lower.
5. Market Context & Trading Bias
- Bias: Bearish-to-Neutral
- While the stock has been in a long downtrend, the recent consolidation suggests possible accumulation.
- Needs a strong breakout above 0.800 for confirmation of trend reversal.
- Trader Psychology:
- Buyers are attempting to defend 0.725–0.755.
- Sellers remain in control unless price reclaims 0.880+.
6. Supply & Demand & Liquidity Analysis
- Supply Zone:
- 0.880–0.960 (heavy selling pressure area).
- Demand Zone:
- 0.725–0.755 (buyers showing interest).
- Volume Consideration:
- Increasing volume on dips suggests accumulation.
- Breakout with volume above 0.800 could trigger buying momentum.
7. Risk Management Strategy
- Entry:
- Bullish: If price breaks above 0.800 with volume, target 0.880.
- Bearish: If price fails at 0.800, short with a target of 0.725.
- Stop-Loss:
- For longs: Below 0.750.
- For shorts: Above 0.820.
- Profit Targets:
- 0.880 (short-term resistance)
- 1.040 (major trend reversal point)
Final Thoughts
- Current Trend: Downtrend but stabilizing.
- Potential Setup: Watch for a breakout above 0.800 or rejection for shorting.
- Risk Management: Use stop-losses to minimize downside risk.
Disclaimer:Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions.
Dividend: 6.64%
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