Friday, March 21, 2025

Food Empire - 21 Mar 2025

Technical Analysis of FOOD EMPIRE (F03.SGX) – Daily Chart

1. Trend Analysis

Current Trend: Uptrend

  • The stock has broken out of a long consolidation phase and is making higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL).
  • Recent Higher Highs: 1.38 (Current), 1.37 (March), 1.33 (April).
  • Recent Higher Lows: 1.12 (February), 1.08 (May), 0.96 (August).
  • Bullish Momentum: Strong rally with multiple large green candles, indicating sustained buying pressure.
  • No significant counter-trend movements, but possible profit-taking in the future.

2. Key Price Action Signals

📌 Strong Trend Bars:

  • The latest candles show large bullish bars with strong closes, indicating aggressive buying.
  • A breakout move has occurred from 1.00 to 1.38, confirming strong upside momentum.
  • Little to no wick on bullish candles → buying pressure remains strong.

📌 Reversal Patterns:

  • Prior downtrend in 2024 saw a double-bottom formation at 0.95-0.96 (Aug & Dec), followed by a steady rise.
  • The break of 1.00 psychological resistance in February 2025 was key for the bullish reversal.

📌 Inside Bars & Doji Bars:

  • Minimal consolidation recently, showing a parabolic move.
  • A doji may appear soon if buyers hesitate at current levels.

3. Support & Resistance Levels

🔵 Key Support Levels:

  • 1.30-1.32 (Recent breakout level, could act as support)
  • 1.00-1.02 (Psychological support & former resistance)
  • 0.96-0.98 (Historical demand zone from 2024)

🔴 Key Resistance Levels:

  • 1.40-1.44 (Last major resistance from early 2024)
  • 1.47 (Potential target if rally continues)

4. Breakout & Pullback Analysis

📈 Breakout Strength:

  • The breakout above 1.02 and 1.30 was strong, with high volume and little resistance.
  • High momentum breakout → implies further upside potential unless a pullback occurs.

📉 Pullback Possibility:

  • If profit-taking happens, expect a pullback to 1.30 or 1.20 before resuming uptrend.
  • Look for bullish rejection wicks at support zones for buy-the-dip opportunities.

5. Market Context & Trading Bias

📊 Current Market Condition: Trending Up

  • The stock has shifted from a long consolidation into a strong bullish breakout.
  • Traders’ Sentiment: Strong buying, limited selling pressure so far.

💡 Potential Trend Shift Clues:

  • If a bearish engulfing candle forms near 1.40, it could signal short-term exhaustion.
  • A break below 1.30 would weaken the bullish bias.

6. Supply & Demand & Liquidity Analysis

🏦 Demand Zones:

  • 1.00-1.02: Strong buying in February 2025.
  • 1.30-1.32: Recent breakout zone, now acting as demand.

🚨 Liquidity Traps:

  • Late buyers near 1.38-1.40 might face risk if momentum slows.
  • If sellers push below 1.30, stop-losses may trigger a drop toward 1.20.

7. Risk Management Strategy

📌 Entry Strategy:

  • Breakout Traders: Consider entries on break above 1.40 with stop-loss at 1.30.
  • Pullback Buyers: Look for retracement to 1.30 or 1.20 for a better risk/reward trade.

📌 Stop-Loss & Take-Profit:

  • Stop-Loss: Below 1.30 (breakout support) or 1.20 (stronger support).
  • Take-Profit: 1.44-1.47 (previous resistance zone).

📌 Risk/Reward Consideration:

  • Buying near 1.30 offers a 3:1 risk/reward toward 1.47.
  • Buying near 1.38 is riskier unless momentum continues.

Final Thoughts:

🚀 Bullish Bias

  • Trend is strong, buyers in control.
  • Watch 1.40-1.44 as a key resistance zone.
  • Best entries on pullbacks rather than chasing highs.

⚠️ Warning for Late Buyers:

  • If price fails to hold 1.30, it could signal exhaustion.
  • Avoid chasing unless new bullish confirmations appear.

📊 Verdict: Bullish, but expect pullbacks before higher moves.


Disclaimer:Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions.

Dividend:   3.68%



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