Stock: NORDIC Code: MR7 Timeframe: 1 Day (1D)
1. Trend Analysis
- Overall Trend: The chart shows a clear downtrend followed by a potential consolidation/range.
- Downtrend:
- We see a series of lower highs and lower lows from March to September 2024.
- The price moves significantly from approximately 0.460 to 0.285.
- The initial downtrend is characterized by strong bearish bars, indicating strong selling pressure.
- Consolidation/Range:
- After hitting a low around 0.285, the price begins to move sideways, forming a range between approximately 0.285 and 0.370.
- The bars become smaller, indicating a decrease in momentum and indecision.
- Currently the price is at 0.345, in the middle of the range.
- Signs of Trend Weakening:
- The smaller bars and overlapping bars in the consolidation phase suggest a weakening of the downtrend momentum.
- The recent upswing from the 0.300 area could be the start of a trend reversal, or just a range bound fluctuation.
2. Key Price Action Signals
- Strong Trend Bars:
- The large bearish bars during the initial downtrend indicate strong selling pressure and a clear downtrend.
- The large bullish bar that moved price from below 0.300 to above 0.320 is a strong trend bar, that shows buying pressure.
- Reversal Patterns:
- There aren't very clear, classic reversal patterns like pin bars or engulfing bars. The trend reverses more through a slowing of momentum and consolidation.
- Inside Bars and Doji Bars:
- The consolidation phase has many smaller inside bars and doji-like bars, indicating indecision and a potential range.
- The doji like bars show areas of indecision, where buyers and sellers are relatively equal.
3. Support & Resistance Levels
- Resistance:
- The 0.370 area has acted as resistance multiple times during the consolidation phase.
- The 0.460 area acted as strong resistance at the start of the downtrend.
- Support:
- The 0.285 to 0.300 area has acted as a support zone, with the price bouncing off it several times.
- The 0.320 area also seems to be a level where price has reacted.
4. Breakout & Pullback Analysis
- Breakouts:
- The initial breakdown from the 0.460 level was a strong breakout, with large bearish bars.
- There has not been a clear breakout from the consolidation range yet.
- Pullbacks:
- During the downtrend, there were pullbacks to previous lower highs, which then acted as resistance.
- Within the consolidation range, price has made pullbacks to the support and resistance levels.
5. Market Context & Trading Bias
- Market State: The stock has transitioned from a downtrend to a consolidation/range.
- Trend Shift:
- The consolidation and recent upswing suggest a potential trend shift, but it's too early to confirm.
- A break above 0.370 with strong volume would be a strong signal of a trend shift.
- Trader Psychology:
- The strong downtrend shows fear and selling pressure.
- The consolidation shows indecision and a potential balance between buyers and sellers.
6. Supply & Demand & Liquidity Analysis
- Supply/Demand Zones:
- The 0.370 area is a supply zone, where sellers have repeatedly entered the market.
- The 0.285-0.300 area is a demand zone, where buyers have supported the price.
- Volume:
- Although the volume is not very clear, the large bearish bars during the downtrend likely had higher volume.
- Watching for increased volume on a break of the range would be very useful.
- Trade Setups:
- A potential breakout play would be to wait for a break above 0.370 with strong volume.
- A pullback buy could be considered if the price pulls back to the 0.320-0.330 area after a potential breakout.
7. Risk Management Strategy
- Entry:
- For a breakout play, enter above 0.370 with confirmation.
- For a pullback buy, enter near 0.320-0.330 after a confirmed breakout.
- Stop-Loss:
- For a breakout play, place a stop-loss below the breakout level (e.g., below 0.360).
- For a pullback buy, place a stop-loss below the recent swing low (e.g., below 0.300).
- Profit-Taking:
- For a breakout play, target the next resistance level (e.g., the previous high around 0.460).
- For a pullback buy, consider taking partial profits at the range high (0.370) and letting the rest run if a new uptrend forms.
Conclusion:
The NORDIC (SGX) chart shows a transition from a strong downtrend to a consolidation phase. A breakout above 0.370 with strong volume would signal a potential trend reversal. Until then, the stock is likely to remain within the range. Traders should monitor price action and volume for confirmation of a breakout or breakdown.
Disclaimer:Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions.
Dividend: 4.43%
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