Thursday, March 13, 2025

Valuemax - 13 Mar 2025

Technical Analysis of VALUE MAX (T6I) – 1D Timeframe (SGX)

1. Trend Analysis

βœ… Overall Trend: The stock is in an uptrend, evident from a series of higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL) starting from late 2023.

  • Higher Highs (HH):

    • Nov 2023: 0.340
    • March 2024: 0.405
    • July 2024: 0.470
    • March 2025: 0.510
  • Higher Lows (HL):

    • Nov 2023: 0.290
    • Feb 2024: 0.315
    • June 2024: 0.390
    • Dec 2024: 0.425

πŸ”Έ Trend Strength & Weakness:

  • The uptrend gained momentum after breaking out above 0.40 in March 2024, followed by strong follow-through.
  • Recent bars show some retracement from 0.510, suggesting a short-term pullback.
  • If price holds above 0.470 (previous resistance turned support), the uptrend remains intact.

2. Key Price Action Signals

βœ… Strong Trend Bars:

  • The breakout bar in March 2024 had strong volume and a large bullish body, confirming bullish momentum.
  • Dec 2024 to March 2025: Several strong trend bars leading to the 0.500 breakout.

🚨 Reversal Signals:

  • The most recent bar has a long upper wick, suggesting selling pressure near 0.510.
  • A potential pullback or consolidation could follow before another breakout attempt.

πŸ”Έ Inside Bars & Doji:

  • Feb 2024: Small inside bars before a strong breakout.
  • Nov 2024: Doji formed at 0.470 resistance, signaling indecision before a continuation.

3. Support & Resistance Levels

βœ… Major Resistance Levels:

  • 0.510 (New High & Current Resistance)
  • 0.470-0.465 (Previous high, needs to hold as support for further upside)
  • 0.435 (Minor resistance, previously tested)

βœ… Major Support Levels:

  • 0.425 (Key higher low) – If broken, uptrend may weaken.
  • 0.390 (Last major swing low) – Strong demand zone.

4. Breakout & Pullback Analysis

πŸ”Έ Breakout Strength:

  • The 0.470 breakout had strong momentum, but the 0.510 breakout is facing some selling pressure.
  • If price closes above 0.500 with strong volume, further upside is likely.

βœ… Pullback Analysis:

  • If price pulls back, 0.470 and 0.425 are key levels to watch.
  • If a bullish rejection occurs at support, it may provide a buy-the-dip opportunity.

5. Market Context & Trading Bias

πŸ”Έ Current Context:

  • The stock is in an uptrend, but short-term retracement could be happening.
  • Bullish bias remains valid unless price falls below 0.425.

🚨 Possible Trend Shift Signals:

  • A strong close below 0.425 would signal potential trend reversal or deeper correction.
  • If price fails to reclaim 0.500 quickly, a sideways range may develop.

6. Supply & Demand & Liquidity Analysis

πŸ”Έ Liquidity Traps:

  • The long wick at 0.510 suggests sellers absorbing liquidity, possibly triggering a temporary reversal.
  • If buyers step in above 0.470, another breakout attempt could occur.

βœ… Potential Trade Setups:

  • Pullback Buy: If price retests 0.470 with bullish confirmation, an entry could be considered.
  • Breakout Play: A daily close above 0.510 with strong volume could confirm further upside.

7. Risk Management Strategy

🎯 Trade Plan:

  • Entry: Buy on pullback to 0.470 or breakout above 0.510.
  • Stop-Loss: Below 0.425 to protect against deeper corrections.
  • Take Profit Levels:
    • 0.550 (short-term target)
    • 0.600 (longer-term potential target)

πŸ” Summary & Next Steps:

βœ… Overall Bias: Bullish (but needs confirmation above 0.510)
βœ… Key Levels to Watch: 0.470 (support) & 0.510 (resistance)
🚨 Warning: A close below 0.425 could signal a deeper correction.


Disclaimer:Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions.

Dividend:  4.44%



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