Sunday, March 23, 2025

Multi-Chem - 21 Mar 2025

Multi-Chem (AWZ) - Daily Chart Analysis (SGX)

1. Trend Analysis

  • Primary Trend: Uptrend

  • Recent Higher Highs & Lows:

    • Higher highs at 3.10 → 2.91 → 2.90 → 3.31 → 3.55

    • Higher lows at 2.35 → 2.67 → 2.70 → 2.73 → 3.20

  • Trend Strength: Strong uptrend, but minor consolidation around 3.20 - 3.31

  • Signs of Weakening:

    • Some smaller candles with overlapping wicks (possible consolidation).

    • Resistance at 3.31 and 3.55 where price previously rejected.


2. Key Price Action Signals

  • Strong Trend Bars:

    • Sharp breakout on high volume from 2.87 to 3.55, indicating strong demand.

    • Bullish momentum after crossing 3.00 psychological level.

  • Reversal Patterns:

    • Possible rejection at 3.55 (long wick and retracement).

    • Price action forming higher lows, confirming sustained demand.

  • Inside Bars & Doji Signals:

    • Several small-bodied candles near 3.20 - 3.31 range, signaling indecision.

  • Volume Spikes & Anomalies:

    • Significant volume surge on the 3.55 breakout attempt (potential breakout failure).

    • Current volume has reduced, indicating a potential pause before the next move.


3. Support & Resistance Levels

  • Key Support Levels:

    • 3.20 (current price, tested multiple times).

    • 2.87 - 2.90 (prior resistance turned support).

    • 2.68 - 2.70 (strong swing low area).

  • Key Resistance Levels:

    • 3.31 (recent rejection).

    • 3.55 (strong supply zone; failed breakout).

    • 3.60+ (potential breakout zone if volume confirms).


4. Breakout & Pullback Analysis

  • Breakout Strength:

    • The 3.55 breakout failed, resulting in a retracement.

    • Price now consolidating around 3.20.

  • Pullback Patterns:

    • Price pulled back from 3.55 to 3.20, testing demand.

    • Holding above 3.20 suggests bullish continuation is possible.

    • A breakdown below 3.20 may lead to a test of 2.90 support.


5. Market Context & Trading Bias

  • Current Phase: Uptrend with consolidation.

  • Potential Trend Shift?: If price fails to reclaim 3.31, a deeper correction may happen.

  • Trader Psychology:

    • Breakout traders trapped at 3.55 may exit if price fails to push higher.

    • Buyers defending 3.20, but if demand weakens, a pullback to 2.90 is possible.


6. Supply, Demand & Liquidity Analysis

  • Supply/Demand Observations:

    • Strong demand around 3.20 as buyers step in.

    • Liquidity is thinning near 3.55, leading to a false breakout.

  • Potential Trade Setups:

    • Bullish: Long near 3.20 with stop below 3.10 and targets at 3.31 and 3.55.

    • Bearish: If price closes below 3.20, short to 2.90 - 2.70 support zones.


7. Risk Management Strategy

  • Bullish Entry: Near 3.20, stop at 3.10, target 3.31 → 3.55.

  • Bearish Entry: Below 3.20, stop at 3.31, target 2.90 → 2.70.

  • Breakout Confirmation: Only enter above 3.31 if volume increases.


Final Summary

  • Trend: Uptrend but currently in consolidation between 3.20 - 3.31.

  • Key Resistance: 3.31 and 3.55.

  • Key Support: 3.20 and 2.90.

  • Bias: Bullish above 3.20, bearish below it.

  • Next Move: If price breaks above 3.31, next test is 3.55.

    • If it breaks below 3.20, a pullback to 2.90 is likely.


Disclaimer:Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions.

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