Stock Analysis: Credit Bureau Asia (SGX: TCU) - 1D Timeframe
1. Trend Analysis:
- Overall Trend: The stock is in a clear uptrend since October 2024, as seen from the series of higher highs and higher lows.
- Recent Highs & Lows:
- Higher highs: 1.19 → 1.24 → 1.25 → 1.28
- Higher lows: 0.86 → 0.89 → 1.16
- Trend Weakness:
- The recent upward momentum has slowed near 1.25 - 1.28 with smaller bullish bars and some overlapping candles, suggesting consolidation or distribution.
- A dip to 1.16 was met with buying pressure, but a lower high compared to 1.28 could signal weakening bullish strength.
2. Key Price Action Signals:
- Strong Trend Bars:
- The breakout in October 2024 from 0.86 to 1.19 had large green candles with strong follow-through, confirming bullish momentum.
- Recent candles are smaller and more mixed, showing potential hesitation.
- Reversal Signals:
- A bearish rejection occurred at 1.28, pushing the price back toward 1.22.
- If buyers fail to push above 1.25, a potential double top formation could develop.
- Inside Bars & Consolidation:
- Tight price movement between 1.21 - 1.25 suggests indecision or range-bound action before the next breakout or reversal.
- Dojis & Market Sentiment:
- The presence of doji candles near 1.25 suggests indecision among traders.
3. Support & Resistance Levels:
- Major Resistance:
- 1.28 (Recent swing high, potential breakout point)
- 1.25 (Current rejection zone)
- Major Support:
- 1.16 (Recent higher low, must hold to maintain uptrend)
- 1.10 - 1.12 (Psychological level and previous price reaction zone)
4. Breakout & Pullback Analysis:
- Breakout Strength:
- The October 2024 breakout was strong, supported by high volume.
- Recent breakouts above 1.24 lacked strong follow-through, indicating possible exhaustion.
- Pullback Behavior:
- A healthy pullback to 1.16 found buyers, confirming strong support.
- If 1.22 fails, another test of 1.16 is likely.
5. Market Context & Trading Bias:
- Current Market Phase: The stock is in an uptrend but showing consolidation near highs.
- Potential Trend Change Signals:
- A break below 1.16 could trigger deeper corrections.
- A breakout above 1.25 - 1.28 would signal continuation of the uptrend.
- Trader Psychology:
- Bullish bias remains, but caution is needed as the price approaches resistance zones.
- Breakout traders will watch 1.25 - 1.28 for confirmation.
Final Thoughts:
- Bullish Case: Break and hold above 1.25 - 1.28 = trend continuation.
- Bearish Case: Failure to hold 1.22 - 1.16 = possible trend reversal.
- Neutral Stance: Price is consolidating, so a breakout confirmation is needed.
📌 Next Steps: Watch 1.25 - 1.28 for breakout confirmation or 1.16 for breakdown risk.
Disclaimer:Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions.
Dividend: 3.33%
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