Friday, March 07, 2025

Tat Seng Pkg - 07 Mar 2025

Stock Analysis: Tat Seng Packaging Group (SGX: T12) - Daily Timeframe (1D)

1. Trend Analysis

  • Overall Trend: The stock is currently in an uptrend after a long period of consolidation.
  • Higher Highs & Higher Lows:
    • Recent higher lows: 0.715 (Oct 2023), 0.770 (Feb 2024)
    • Recent higher highs: 0.830 (Feb 2024), 0.820 (March 2025)
  • Trend Weakness Signs:
    • Price is ranging between 0.770 and 0.820, showing some consolidation.
    • Candlesticks show smaller trend bars and overlapping candles, signaling some indecision.

2. Key Price Action Signals

  • Strong Trend Bars:
    • The breakout candle at 0.830 (Feb 2024) was a strong signal, but it faced rejection.
    • The recent 0.820 level has multiple touches, showing resistance.
  • Reversal Patterns:
    • Pin bars at 0.820 and 0.830 indicate selling pressure.
    • A double-top pattern near 0.820-0.830 suggests potential resistance.
  • Inside Bars & Doji Bars:
    • Inside bars are forming at 0.800, suggesting possible breakout or breakdown.

3. Support & Resistance Levels

  • Major Resistance: 0.820-0.830 (recent highs, sellers present).
  • Major Support: 0.770-0.775 (multiple bounces from this level).
  • Mid-range: 0.800, acting as an equilibrium zone.

4. Breakout & Pullback Analysis

  • Breakout Strength:
    • The move above 0.800 was strong, but selling at 0.820 suggests resistance.
  • Pullbacks & Patterns:
    • If price pulls back to 0.770 and holds, a new higher low can form for an uptrend continuation.
    • If it breaks below 0.770, a retest of 0.715-0.720 support is likely.

5. Market Context & Trading Bias

  • Current Structure: Consolidation between 0.770 and 0.820 after an uptrend.
  • Potential Trend Shift: A break above 0.830 confirms a bullish breakout, while a break below 0.770 weakens the trend.
  • Trader Psychology:
    • Buyers are defending 0.770, but sellers are active at 0.820.
    • The market is in accumulation mode, waiting for direction.

6. Supply & Demand & Liquidity Analysis

  • Demand Zones: 0.770-0.780 (previous breakout zone, potential buying interest).
  • Supply Zones: 0.820-0.830 (multiple rejections, strong selling pressure).
  • Volume Analysis:
    • Increased volume near 0.820 suggests strong resistance.
    • Low volume at 0.770-0.780 may indicate weak selling pressure.

7. Risk Management & Trade Plan

  • Bullish Scenario (Breakout Above 0.830):

    • Entry: Above 0.830 with strong volume confirmation.
    • Stop-loss: Below 0.800 to limit downside risk.
    • Target: 0.850-0.870 potential upside.
  • Bearish Scenario (Break Below 0.770):

    • Entry: Below 0.770 with confirmation.
    • Stop-loss: Above 0.800 to limit risk.
    • Target: 0.720-0.715 (previous support).

Conclusion

  • The stock remains in an uptrend but faces resistance at 0.820-0.830.
  • A breakout above 0.830 signals further upside, while a break below 0.770 may lead to a trend reversal.
  • Traders should wait for confirmation before entering trades and manage risk accordingly.

Disclaimer:Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions.

Dividend:  6.10%



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