Monday, March 24, 2025

CapLand IntCom Trust - 24 Mar 2025

Technical Analysis of CAPLAND INTCOM T (C38U) - SGX (Daily Chart)

1. Trend Analysis

โœ… Current Trend: Uptrend

  • The market was previously in a downtrend, bottoming at 1.90 SGD (December-January).

  • A higher low (1.92 SGD in February) and recent higher highs (2.14 SGD in March) confirm a trend reversal.

  • The breakout above 2.00 SGD (resistance turned support) led to bullish momentum.

โš  Signs of Weakening Trend:

  • The most recent high (2.14 SGD) had a long wick, indicating selling pressure.

  • Some bars show overlapping candles, which could signal consolidation or indecision.


2. Key Price Action Signals

๐Ÿ“Œ Bullish Signals:

  • Strong bullish trend bars from late February to mid-March, showing aggressive buying.

  • March 22 breakout above 2.00 SGD was accompanied by high volume.

  • No major bearish engulfing or reversal patterns yet.

โš  Bearish Signals:

  • Pin bar at 2.14 SGD shows rejection at resistance.

  • Potential double top around 2.14-2.15 SGD.


3. Support & Resistance Levels

๐Ÿ”น Major Support Levels:

  • 2.00 SGD โ€“ Psychological level & previous resistance.

  • 1.92 SGD โ€“ Recent higher low.

  • 1.90 SGD โ€“ Key bottom from December 2024.

๐Ÿ”ธ Major Resistance Levels:

  • 2.14 - 2.15 SGD โ€“ Key resistance level (rejection visible).

  • 2.16 - 2.20 SGD โ€“ Previous swing high zone.


4. Breakout & Pullback Analysis

โœ… Breakouts:

  • Strong breakout above 2.00 SGD with volume confirmed a trend shift.

  • Recent attempt to break 2.14 SGD failed, signaling resistance.

โš  Pullbacks:

  • Price pulled back after hitting 2.14 SGD, but buyers stepped in at 2.10 SGD.

  • If price holds above 2.00 SGD, the uptrend remains intact.


5. Market Context & Trading Bias

๐Ÿ”น Market Phase: Uptrend with potential consolidation.
๐Ÿ”น Trader Sentiment: Mixed; strong buying recently, but sellers emerged at resistance.
๐Ÿ”น Next Move: If price clears 2.14 - 2.15 SGD with volume, expect continuation to 2.20 SGD. Otherwise, a drop back to 2.00 SGD is possible.


6. Supply, Demand & Liquidity Analysis

๐Ÿ“Œ Demand Zones:

  • 1.90 - 2.00 SGD: Strong buying seen.

๐Ÿ“Œ Supply Zones:

  • 2.14 - 2.16 SGD: Sellers active.

๐Ÿ“Œ Volume Analysis:

  • Recent breakout was backed by volume, but the rejection at 2.14 SGD suggests profit-taking.


7. Risk Management Strategy

๐Ÿ“Œ Bullish Plan (If expecting continuation):

  • Entry: Above 2.14 SGD after breakout confirmation.

  • Stop Loss: Below 2.00 SGD (invalidates uptrend).

  • Target: 2.20 - 2.25 SGD zone.

๐Ÿ“Œ Bearish Plan (If expecting rejection/fake breakout):

  • Entry: On rejection at 2.14 SGD.

  • Stop Loss: Above 2.16 SGD.

  • Target: 2.00 SGD (support retest).


Conclusion

๐Ÿ”น The stock is in an uptrend, but resistance at 2.14 - 2.15 SGD is holding.
๐Ÿ”น A breakout above 2.15 SGD could confirm a move to 2.20 SGD+.
๐Ÿ”น A drop below 2.10 - 2.00 SGD might trigger a pullback to 1.92 SGD.

๐Ÿ“Š Watch for:

  • Strong breakout with volume above 2.15 SGD = bullish signal.

  • Rejection and breakdown below 2.10 SGD = possible retracement.


Disclaimer:Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions.

Dividend:   5.21%



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