AIMS APAC - 09 May 25

AIMS APAC REIT (SGX: O5RU), traded on the Singapore Exchange (SGX).
Timeframe: Daily (1D)
Current Price: $1.27 SGD

1. Trend Analysis

• Current Market Phase: Ranging
  Over the past year, the stock has fluctuated between ~$1.16 (support) and ~$1.37 (resistance) with no sustained directional bias.

• Recent High/Low Structure:

  • Lower high at $1.30 (Feb 2025) failed to break above $1.37 (Sep 2024).

  • Lower low formed at $1.16 in April 2025, showing downward pressure.

• Signs of Trend Weakening:

  • Recent bars are short-bodied, with some long wicks.

  • Price overlapping and frequent rejections near $1.27–$1.28.

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2. Key Price Action Signals

• Volume Spike (April 2025):

  • Large red bar with high volume down to $1.16, followed by quick recovery.

  • Indicates possible capitulation or demand absorption.

• Pin Bar (Late April 2025):

  • Long lower wick around $1.16 shows rejection of lower prices — potential short-term bottom.

• Engulfing Bar (May 6–7, 2025):

  • A bullish candle fully engulfs the prior bearish one, suggesting reversal interest.

• No Clear Gap Ups/Downs:

  • Candles appear continuous with no major gaps visible.

• Doji Bars / Inside Bars:

  • Multiple small-bodied candles between March and May 2025, reflecting indecision.

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3. Support & Resistance Levels

• Major Support:

  • $1.16 (tested in Nov 2023 and Apr 2025).

• Intermediate Support:

  • $1.23–$1.24 (frequent bounce zone).

• Major Resistance:

  • $1.37 (top in Sep 2024).

• Current Resistance:

  • $1.30–$1.32 (stalling zone from Jan to Feb 2025).

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4. Breakout & Pullback Analysis

• April–May 2025 Recovery:

  • Price bounced from $1.16 to $1.27 — this is a pullback rally, possibly forming a bull flag.

• Breakout Attempts:

  • Repeated tests of $1.28–$1.30 failed, showing weak bullish follow-through.

• No Strong Breakouts:

  • Most breakout attempts lack large volume or wide-range bars.

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5. Market Context & Trading Bias

• Phase: Neutral-to-Bearish Range

• Bias: Slightly bearish given lower highs and lower lows.

• Trader Psychology:

  • Fear near $1.16 lows (high-volume selloff).

  • Indecision near $1.27 with tight, overlapping bars.

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6. Supply, Demand & Liquidity Analysis

• Demand Zone: $1.16–$1.23

  • High volume absorption seen here.

• Supply Zone: $1.30–$1.34

  • Strong historical rejection area.

• Liquidity Spike:

  • Sharp volume rise on breakdowns and rebounds = institutional activity.

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7. Risk Management Framework (Hypothetical for Educational Use)

• Entry Idea: Break above $1.30 on high volume.

• Stop Loss: Below $1.23 (last support).

• Profit Target: Near $1.34–$1.37 resistance.

Disclaimer:Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions.

Dividend:  7.39%

StarHill Global - 09 May 25

📊 Starhill Global REIT (P40U.SI)

Exchange: Singapore Exchange (SGX)
Timeframe: Daily (1D)

🔍 1. Trend Analysis

• Overall Trend: Range-bound/Sideways

  • Price has been oscillating between SGD 0.465 and 0.515 since mid-2023.

• Recent Structure:

  • Higher Low formed at 0.455 (April 2025).

  • Slight lower high at 0.510 (March 2025) following the previous 0.515 in February.

• Trend Weakness:

  • Multiple overlapping bars and small bodies around the 0.495–0.500 level suggest indecision.

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🔑 2. Key Price Action Signals

• Strong Trend Bars:

  • Late Sept–Oct 2024 rally showed large green bars from 0.475 to 0.550 with good volume.

  • April 2025 has a large red bar falling to 0.455, followed by a strong bounce.

• Reversal Patterns:

  • April 2025: A bullish pin bar/inverted hammer near 0.455 followed by bullish continuation bars.

  • Feb–March 2025: Consolidation at 0.490–0.495, followed by a failed breakout above 0.510.

• Inside/Doji Bars:

  • Mid-March and early May 2025 show small-bodied candles near the 0.495–0.500 level, indicating hesitation.

• Volume Spikes:

  • Late Sept 2024: High volume green bars supported the rally.

  • Early April 2025: High red volume bar during the fall to 0.455.

    • Bar Characteristics: Long body, closed near the low → selling climax.

• Gaps:

  • No significant visible gaps on this chart due to the illiquid, tightly spaced nature of REITs.

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📏 3. Support & Resistance Levels

• Major Resistance:

  • 0.510–0.515: Multiple rejections (Feb–March 2025).

  • 0.550: Peak in Oct 2024 before sell-off.

• Major Support:

  • 0.455: April 2025 low with strong rebound.

  • 0.465–0.470: Held multiple times (May, Aug 2024).

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🚀 4. Breakout & Pullback Analysis

• Breakouts:

  • The rally in Sept–Oct 2024 was a strong breakout above 0.500 with follow-through.

• Pullbacks:

  • The April 2025 sell-off to 0.455 acts as a deep pullback followed by aggressive buying (sharp V-reversal).

  • Price respected support levels and bounced strongly, suggesting demand zone.

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🌐 5. Market Context & Trading Bias

• Context: The REIT is in a sideways consolidation, with a slight bullish tilt post-April 2025.

• Bias Clues:

  • Recent bullish engulfing and demand response from 0.455 suggests temporary optimism.

• Trader Psychology:

  • Fear on April drop (high volume red bar), followed by opportunistic buying (low tail, rising volume).

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💧 6. Supply, Demand & Liquidity Zones

• Supply Zones:

  • 0.510–0.515: Sellers emerged here twice in 2025.

  • 0.550: October 2024 high (likely profit-taking zone).

• Demand Zones:

  • 0.455: Strong buying response post-selloff.

  • 0.465–0.470: Previous basing zone in mid-2024.

• Liquidity Trap Example:

  • Breakdown to 0.455 followed by reversal may have trapped late shorts or stop orders below support.

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🎯 7. Risk Management Strategy (Example)

For educational purposes only:

• Potential Entry: Above 0.500 with breakout confirmation and rising volume.

• Stop-Loss: Below 0.485 or 0.475, depending on risk tolerance.

• Target Zones: First near 0.515, then possibly 0.550 if volume supports.

Disclaimer:Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions.

Dividend:  7.37%

Nam Lee Metal - 09 May 25

Nam Lee Metal (SGX: G0I) on a daily (1D) timeframe, ending Friday, 9 May 2025

📊 1. Trend Analysis

• Previous Trend (mid-2023 to Oct 2024):
  Clear downtrend characterized by lower highs (e.g., 0.315 → 0.310 → 0.300 → 0.295) and lower lows (e.g., 0.275 → 0.265 → 0.240).

• Transitional Phase (Nov 2024 to Jan 2025):
  Formation of a base around 0.240–0.260. Notable spike from 0.245 to 0.295 in Oct/Nov with volume increase suggests accumulation.

• Current Trend (Jan to May 2025):
  Shift to uptrend:

  • Higher lows: 0.255 → 0.290

  • Higher highs: 0.300 → 0.350 → 0.360

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🔎 2. Key Price Action Signals

• Volume Spikes:

  • Oct–Nov 2024:

    • Spike on bar from 0.245 to 0.295. Large bar, strong close = bullish breakout from base.

  • May 2025:

    • Volume spike on 8–9 May bar, close at 0.360. Bar closed near high = strong bullish sentiment.

• Pin Bars & Engulfing:

  • Late Jan 2025: Rejection wick around 0.300 → formed a bullish engulfing next bar.

  • Mid-March 2025: Long lower wick at 0.290 signals demand zone rejection.

• Inside Bars / Dojis:

  • Feb 2025: Inside bars near 0.340 after 0.350 breakout, consolidation before another leg up.

• Gap Up/Down Bars:

  • No classic gaps are visible, but sudden moves (e.g., from 0.255 to 0.295) suggest micro-gap-style momentum from volume surges.

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🧱 3. Support & Resistance Levels

• Support Zones:

  • 0.240–0.260: Base zone from Aug–Oct 2024.

  • 0.290: March low and volume-supported level.

• Resistance Zones:

  • 0.315, 0.340, 0.360: Major swing highs.

  • 0.360 is the current multi-month high (possible resistance next week).

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🔓 4. Breakout & Pullback Analysis

• Breakout (Nov 2024):

  • Strong volume breakout from 0.245 to 0.295 with follow-through.

• Pullbacks:

  • Jan 2025: Clean pullback to 0.255, followed by rally = bull flag.

  • March 2025: Another pullback to 0.290, respected prior support = healthy trend continuation.

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🧠 5. Market Context & Trading Bias

• Context:
  Stock transitioned from a long-term downtrend to a bullish breakout phase with confirmation.

• Psychology:

  • Late 2024: Fear and capitulation.

  • Early 2025: Accumulation and breakout euphoria.

  • Current (May 2025): Optimism with some resistance retests.

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⚖️ 6. Supply, Demand & Liquidity Analysis

• Demand Zones:

  • 0.255–0.290 confirmed demand with strong closes and high volume.

• Liquidity Signals:

  • Price accelerations post-volume spikes suggest institutional activity.

  • No major supply rejections yet at 0.360, but watch for bearish wicks at this level next week.

• Potential Setups (Educational Use Only):

  • Breakout Play: Break above 0.360 with volume could indicate continued momentum.

  • Pullback Buy: Revisit of 0.310–0.320 could offer retest opportunity if volume remains strong.

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🚦 7. Risk Management Framework (Educational Format)

• Hypothetical Entry: After confirmation bar close above 0.350 with volume.

• Stop Loss: Below 0.310 (prior swing low).

• Take Profit Levels:

  • TP1: 0.380 (next psychological round number)

  • TP2: 0.400 (extension target if trend sustains)

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Summary:
Nam Lee Metal (G0I.SI) has shifted from a long consolidation/downtrend into a defined uptrend since late 2024. Volume spikes around breakout points, repeated support confirmations, and bullish continuation patterns provide evidence of accumulation and buyer control. The price currently sits at SGD 0.360 as of Friday, 9 May 2025.

Disclaimer:Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions.

Dividend:  5.56%

Capland Ascott - 09 May 25

Price Action Analysis: CAPLAND ASCOTT TRUST (SGX: HMN) – Daily Chart (as of May 9, 2025)

1. 🔍 Trend Analysis

• Overall Structure (Sep 2023 – May 2025):
  The market is largely range-bound between SGD 0.85 and 0.985, with some brief spikes above/below.

• Recent Trend (Jan–May 2025):

  • Price recently dropped sharply to a low of SGD 0.770, then recovered back to SGD 0.850.

  • The move down forms a lower low (below 0.840), indicating downtrend pressure.

  • However, the recovery back to previous support hints at potential accumulation.

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2. 🕯️ Key Price Action Signals

🔻 Large Bearish Bar with Volume Spike (Early March 2025)

• Volume spike on the big red bar that hit SGD 0.770

• Bar closed near its low, indicating strong selling pressure

• Potential exhaustion bar or liquidity grab

🔺 Strong Bullish Bar (Late March 2025)

• Bullish engulfing-like bar off 0.770

• Low tail (wick) shows rejection of lower prices

• Followed by multiple bullish closes – signals short-term reversal attempt

🔍 Doji and Inside Bars

• February 2025: Several small-bodied candles near 0.865–0.875 = indecision and low momentum

• Often followed by expansion moves → in this case, the selloff to 0.770

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3. 📉 Support & Resistance Zones

• Support Zones:

  • 0.770 – March 2025 swing low (reaction zone)

  • 0.850 – recent low support (tested multiple times)

  • 0.865 – minor support during late 2024

• Resistance Zones:

  • 0.885–0.900 – repeatedly rejected in early and mid-2024

  • 0.955–0.985 – longer-term resistance (Oct–Nov 2024)

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4. 📈 Breakout & Pullback Behavior

• Breakout to 0.770: Sharp bearish move with volume

  • Weak follow-through = suggests liquidity trap

• Pullback to 0.850: Steady recovery, low-volume grind

  • No breakout above 0.860 = resistance holding for now

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5. 🧠 Market Context & Trading Psychology

• Trader Sentiment:

  • Fear spike at 0.770: Likely stop-outs or panic selling

  • Greed/hope in slow climb back to 0.850

  • Indecision above 0.860 with overlapping bars = lack of strong conviction

• Market Phase: Currently transitioning from minor downtrend to potential accumulation zone

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6. 💼 Supply, Demand & Liquidity

• Demand Spike at 0.770: Volume and long lower wick = buyers absorbing panic

• Supply Zone at 0.885: Consistently acts as a ceiling — sellers re-enter here

• Liquidity Trap: Sudden breakdown below 0.850 led to fast reversal

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7. 🛡️ Risk Management Strategy (Educational Use Only)

Potential Setup: Reversal Play

• Entry: Break above 0.860 with volume

• Stop-Loss: Below recent low or breakout candle (~0.840)

• Target Levels: 0.885 (near resistance), stretch to 0.900

Risk Note: As of May 9, 2025, price is consolidating near key previous support; any trade should account for potential false breakouts and tight ranges.

Disclaimer:Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions.

Dividend:  7.17%