Venture - 24 Feb 2026

Venture Corporation Limited (SGX: V03)

Timeframe: 1D
Analysis Period: ~Jul 2025 – 24 Feb 2026
Last Traded Price: 16.83

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Market Regime Classification: Established Uptrend (Late Expansion Phase)

Price is in a confirmed bullish structure with persistent higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL). Current condition suggests trend continuation bias, but nearing short-term breakout exhaustion zone.

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1️⃣ Market Structure & Order Flow

Macro Structure (Jul → Feb)

Clear sequence:

• 11.05 → 12.58 → 13.68 → 14.69 → 15.15 → 16.72 → 16.85

• Higher lows consistently defended (12.26 → 13.01 → 13.75 → 14.41 → 14.75 → 15.75)

No structural breakdown observed.

Break of Structure (BOS)

• Major BOS above 15.15 (Nov)

• Strong displacement BOS above 16.00 (Jan)

• Recent micro BOS above 16.72 (Feb)

Momentum structure intact.

CHoCH?

None confirmed. No lower low printed. Pullbacks shallow (trend strength).

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2️⃣ Institutional vs Retail Behavior

Absorption Evidence

• Around 14.75–15.00 (Dec): High volume, small range → accumulation.

• Around 15.75 (early Feb): Volume cluster, rejection wick → liquidity sweep then recovery.

Liquidity Grabs

• Minor sweep below 15.75 before expansion toward 16.70s.

• Classic stop-run under swing low, followed by expansion.

Displacement Move

• Strong impulsive leg 15.20 → 16.70 with minimal retracement.

• Indicates institutional initiative buying.

No distribution footprint yet (no wide-range down bars with expanding volume).

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3️⃣ Volume-Price Relationship (VPR)

Healthy Bullish Signatures

• Breakouts accompanied by expanding volume.

• Pullbacks on contracting volume (low supply).

Early Warning Signals?

• Recent push above 16.72 shows slightly less aggressive volume compared to January impulse.

• Minor volume divergence forming (price making marginal new high, volume not accelerating).

Not bearish yet, but indicates late-stage trend acceleration.

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4️⃣ Bar Pattern & Micro Behavior

• Multiple tight inside bar clusters around 14.75 and 15.75 → coiling → expansion.

• No bearish engulfing patterns at highs.

• No shooting star with confirmation.

Trend remains technically clean.

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5️⃣ Institutional Supply/Demand Zones

Demand Zones

• 15.70–15.85 (most important)

• 14.70–15.00 (major base)

• 13.70–13.90 (deep structural HL)

Supply Zone

• 16.85–17.00 (psychological + fresh high)

Round number 17.00 likely liquidity magnet.

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6️⃣ Effort vs Result

• Jan rally: High effort → strong result (valid expansion).

• Recent highs: Moderate effort → incremental result (momentum slowing slightly).

No clear absorption at highs yet, but watch for:

• Wide range down bar + high volume

• Failure to hold above 16.70

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7️⃣ Risk-Adjusted Setup Mapping

Pullback Long (High Probability)

Zone: 15.75–16.00
Invalidation: Below 15.70
Target 1: 17.20 (measured move projection)
Target 2: 17.80 (impulse extension)

Risk/Reward: ~1:3 if entered near 15.85

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Breakout Continuation

Trigger: Strong close above 17.00 with expanding volume
Stop: Below breakout candle low
Target: 17.80–18.00

Avoid breakout if volume is weak (risk of bull trap).

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8️⃣ Regime Strength Assessment

Trending Regime Characteristics Present:

✔ Higher highs & higher lows
✔ Shallow pullbacks
✔ Strong breakout follow-through
✔ Volume expansion on impulse legs

This remains a trend-dominant structure, not ranging.

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9️⃣ Accumulation vs Distribution Probability

• Accumulation Phase: Completed (Jul–Dec base building)

• Markup Phase: Active (Jan–Feb)

• Distribution Probability: Low–Moderate (30%)

• Continued Markup Probability: 70%

Distribution only confirmed if:

• Break below 15.70

• High-volume rejection from 17.00

• Lower high forms below 16.85

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🔟 Highest Conviction Observations

1. Strong institutional accumulation occurred between 14.75–15.00.

2. January displacement move confirms professional buying.

3. Pullbacks show volume contraction (bullish).

4. No structural weakness yet.

5. Momentum slightly decelerating near 16.85–17.00.

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Forward Bias

Primary Bias: Bullish continuation toward 17.20–17.80
Structural Invalidation: Daily close below 15.70
Critical Level to Watch: 17.00 psychological breakout zone

Disclaimer:Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions.

Dividend:   4.46%