SembCorp Ind - 22 Apr 2025

Sembcorp Industries (SGX:U96) based on the 1-Day timeframe chart dated Tuesday, April 22, 2025:

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📊 1. Trend Analysis

• Current Trend: Strong uptrend since early March 2025 after a clean breakout above 5.79.

• Higher Highs & Higher Lows:

  • Higher lows: 5.21 → 5.74

  • Higher highs: 5.74 → 6.45 → 6.70

• Trend Weakness:

  • Some recent bars show wicks on top, indicating selling pressure.

  • Last two weeks show consolidation between 6.00–6.40, suggesting a potential slowdown or rest phase before the next move.

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🔑 2. Key Price Action Signals

• Strong Trend Bars:

  • Large green bar in early March (near 5.30 breakout) with high volume → bullish confirmation.

  • Another strong green bar pushing through 6.00 showed follow-through strength.

• Volume Spikes:

  • March breakout bar above 5.79 had heavy volume and closed near high → institutional buying.

  • April 2025 pullback to 5.74 with increased volume but closed off lows → buying pressure.

• Reversal Signals:

  • Bearish pin bar near 6.70 top → possible short-term top.

  • Strong bullish engulfing bar at 5.74 → valid pullback buy.

• Inside Bars:

  • Several tight-range days after 6.70 high → indecision or absorption.

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📌 3. Support & Resistance

• Support Zones:

  • 5.74: Key pullback level, held multiple times.

  • 6.00–6.10: Minor intraday support zone.

• Resistance Zones:

  • 6.70: Recent swing high (potential double top or breakout level).

  • 6.45: Mid-range resistance now tested twice.

  • Next untested zone likely near 7.00 (psychological).

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🔓 4. Breakout & Pullback Analysis

• Breakouts:

  • Break above 5.79: Large candle + volume → strong.

  • Breakout above 6.00: Moderate strength, less volume than 5.79 breakout.

• Pullbacks:

  • Healthy pullback to 5.74 with a strong bounce suggests buy-the-dip opportunity.

  • Consolidation around 6.20–6.35 forming a bull flag.

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📈 5. Market Context & Trading Bias

• Current Context: Consolidation inside a strong uptrend (trend pause).

• Bias: Bullish, unless price breaks below 6.00 or especially 5.74.

• Trader Psychology:

  • Some profit-taking at highs (6.70 rejection).

  • Current indecision around 6.30 suggests traders are waiting for new data or catalyst.

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🔍 6. Supply, Demand & Liquidity

• Demand Zones:

  • 5.74: Seen as strong demand zone — volume confirmed.

• Supply Zone:

  • 6.70: Price was rejected with long wick, indicating heavy selling or profit-taking.

• Liquidity Trap Watch:

  • Break below 6.00 then quick recovery would be a trap setup (watch for fake breakdowns).

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🛡️ 7. Risk Management Strategy (Based on Chart)

• Entry Setup #1 (Pullback Buy):

  • Entry: Near 6.20–6.30 support zone (if price dips into it again).

  • Stop-Loss: Below 5.74 (key swing low).

  • Target 1: 6.70 (recent high).

  • Target 2: 7.00 (psychological resistance).

• Entry Setup #2 (Breakout Play):

  • Entry: Above 6.70 breakout (close with volume).

  • Stop-Loss: 6.30 (breakout failure).

  • Target 1: 7.20.

  • Target 2: 7.50 (measured move).

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📆 As of Today – April 22, 2025:

• Price: 6.34 SGD

• Status: Neutral–Bullish Bias, awaiting breakout or breakdown from current consolidation range.

Disclaimer:Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions.

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