Thursday, April 24, 2025

Pacific Century - 24 Apr 2025

PACIFIC CENTURY (SGX: P15) using the 1D timeframe, based on the chart dated Thursday, April 24, 2025.


1. Trend Analysis

  • Overall Trend: Uptrend.

  • Higher Highs and Higher Lows:

    • Price bottomed around 0.285 in July, began forming higher lows (0.295 → 0.305 → 0.315 → 0.325).

    • Recent highs: 0.345 → 0.405 → 0.415, confirming the uptrend.

  • Trend Strength: Accelerating in recent months, especially post-February 2025. The last few bars show strong upward momentum.


2. Key Price Action Signals

  • Strong Bullish Bars:

    • March rally breakout from 0.340 to 0.405 was on large-bodied bullish candles with good follow-through.

    • Recent green bars (mid-April) from 0.370 to 0.415 are wide and bullish, signaling buyers in control.

  • Volume Spikes:

    • Large volume seen on March breakout bar — price moved sharply up from ~0.320 to 0.390 with big green bar.

      • Closed near high, indicating strong buyer demand.

    • Another volume surge in mid-April, coinciding with the rally to 0.415.

      • Again, green bar closes near the high = bullish continuation.

  • Pin Bars:

    • Notable rejection wicks in early April around 0.370 — demand absorbed selling and led to rally.

  • Gap-Up:

    • Minor gap-ups during the April surge — acted as breakout confirmation with follow-through.


3. Support & Resistance Levels

  • Support:

    • 0.370 = strong demand zone (bounce origin).

    • 0.340 and 0.320 = previous resistance turned support.

  • Resistance:

    • 0.415 = current level. If broken, new highs possible.

    • No historical resistance beyond this, making it a potential blue-sky breakout.


4. Breakout & Pullback Analysis

  • Breakouts:

    • March and April both had powerful breakouts with large candles + volume.

    • Breakout above 0.405 to 0.415 happening now.

  • Pullbacks:

    • Healthy pullbacks to 0.370 and 0.340 during the trend.

    • Each was followed by a strong continuation — classic bull flag patterns.


5. Market Context & Trading Bias

  • Market Condition: Trending (bullish).

  • Psychology:

    • Greed is beginning to set in with higher volume + aggressive buying.

    • Minimal fear or indecision — small wicks, strong green closes.


6. Supply, Demand & Liquidity Zones

  • Demand Zones:

    • Strong demand visible at 0.370, confirmed by price rejection and volume spike.

  • Liquidity Traps:

    • No major traps visible — breakout bars didn't reverse, they had follow-through.

  • Trade Setups:

    • Breakout Play:

      • Entry: On break of 0.415 with volume confirmation.

      • Stop-Loss: Below 0.405 or 0.390 depending on risk.

      • Target: Use Fibonacci extensions (e.g., 1.618 projection), or trailing SL to ride the trend.

    • Pullback Buy:

      • Entry: If price pulls back to 0.405 or 0.390 with rejection wick.

      • Stop: Below 0.370.

      • Reward: Trend continuation above 0.415.


7. Risk Management Strategy

  • Entry (Breakout): Above 0.415 (confirmation on intraday breakout).

  • Stop-Loss: Just below 0.405 or more conservative below 0.370.

  • Profit Targets:

    • Short-term: 0.435–0.450.

    • Medium-term: 0.480–0.500 if breakout sustains.


🔍 Final Notes:

  • This is a textbook breakout setup.

  • Watch for continuation or a fakeout around 0.415 in coming sessions.

  • A clean retest of 0.405–0.410 could offer a safer entry with better R:R.


Disclaimer:Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions.

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