Friday, April 04, 2025

Lion OSPL APAC Fin - Buy - 04 Apr 2025

Transaction Value

SGD 3,264.00

SGD 10.00

SGD 1.06

SGD 0.24

SGD 0.35

SGD 1.05

SGD 12.70

SGD 3,276.7

Buy
LION-OSPL APAC FIN S$
Singapore
YLD
Limit Order
3000
Good for Today
-
SGD 1.088

Cash Upfront
SGD

Thursday, April 03, 2025

Riverstone - 03 Apr 2025

Technical Analysis of Riverstone Holdings Limited (AP4) - 1D Timeframe (SGX)

1. Trend Analysis

  • Overall Trend: The stock has been in a downtrend from early 2025 after peaking at 1.120 SGD in February.

  • Recent Price Action:

    • Lower highs: 1.070 → 1.030 → 0.945

    • Lower lows: 1.030 → 0.945 → 0.880

    • Signs of potential consolidation between 0.880 and 0.950.

Trend Weakening Signs:

  • Smaller bearish bars: Indicates selling momentum may be slowing.

  • Overlapping candles: Suggests indecision and possible base formation.

  • Volume decline during downtrend: May indicate sellers are exhausted.


2. Key Price Action Signals

Bullish Signals:

Support at 0.880 SGD: Price bounced off this level twice, making it a strong demand zone.
Volume spike on breakout (December 2024): Strong uptrend followed after breaking 0.930 with volume support.
Pin bar formation near 0.885 SGD (November 2024): Buyers stepped in, leading to a rally.

Bearish Signals:

Lower highs & lower lows: Confirm a downtrend until proven otherwise.
Failure to hold above 0.950 SGD: Indicates resistance is strong.
Bearish rejection wicks at 1.070 and 1.120 SGD: Shows heavy supply at these levels.

Inside Bars & Doji Signals:

🔹 Doji Candles near 0.930-0.940: Indicates indecision; potential for breakout or breakdown.
🔹 Inside bars (October 2024 - November 2024): Led to a strong breakout above 0.930.

Gap Up / Down Analysis:

📉 Gap down from 1.070 → 0.950 (March 2025): Shows strong selling pressure.
📈 Breakout from 0.880 → 1.100 (December 2024): Indicated a bullish trend shift.


3. Support & Resistance Levels

📍 Major Support Levels:

  • 0.880 SGD (Strong support, tested multiple times)

  • 0.865 - 0.870 SGD (Minor support)

  • 0.945 SGD (Old support, now resistance)

📍 Major Resistance Levels:

  • 0.950 - 0.985 SGD (Strong supply zone)

  • 1.020 - 1.030 SGD (Rejected twice)

  • 1.100 - 1.120 SGD (Major resistance from February 2025)


4. Breakout & Pullback Analysis

  • December 2024 breakout (from 0.930 to 1.100) was strong, supported by volume.

  • Current pullback to 0.925-0.880 may form a base for reversal.

  • Breakout above 0.950 with volume = potential bullish signal.


5. Market Context & Trading Bias

🟠 Current Market Condition: Range-bound between 0.880 - 0.950 after a downtrend.
📊 Short-term bias: Bearish unless price reclaims 0.950 with strong volume.
📈 Long-term bias: Bullish if price breaks above 1.030 and holds.

Trader Sentiment (Psychology Interpretation):

  • Buyers defended 0.880, but sellers dominate below 0.950.

  • Indecision (Doji & small bars) shows market waiting for a catalyst.


6. Supply, Demand & Liquidity Analysis

📊 High Supply Zones: 0.950 - 1.100 (Trapped long positions from previous uptrend).
📊 Strong Demand Areas: 0.880 - 0.885 (Buyers stepped in multiple times).
📈 High Liquidity Traps: 1.030 - 1.070 (False breakout & rejection).


7. Trade Setups & Risk Management Strategy

Bullish Setup (If price holds above 0.930-0.950)

📌 Entry: Above 0.950 SGD after confirmation.
🎯 Target: 1st 1.020, 2nd 1.100
Stop-Loss: Below 0.920 SGD

Bearish Setup (If price breaks below 0.880)

📌 Entry: Below 0.870 SGD after confirmation.
🎯 Target: 0.850 → 0.800
Stop-Loss: Above 0.900 SGD


Conclusion: Watch for Key Levels!

Break above 0.950 → Bullish bias
Break below 0.880 → Bearish bias
⚠️ Current Range: Wait for confirmation before entering a trade.


Disclaimer:Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions.

Dividend:   6.31%



Tuesday, April 01, 2025

QAF - 01 Apr 2025

Stock Analysis: QAF Limited (Q01) - 1D Timeframe (SGX)

1. Trend Analysis

  • Current Trend: The stock is in an uptrend, as seen by the series of higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL) since mid-2024.

  • Recent Higher Highs/Lows:

    • Recent high: 0.870 (April 1, 2025)

    • Recent low: 0.835 (March 2025)

  • Trend Strength: The trend remains intact, with price making new higher closes, but some consolidation phases suggest temporary resistance.

2. Key Price Action Signals

  • Strong Trend Bars:

    • The latest candle (April 1, 2025) is a bullish breakout bar, closing near the high (0.870), signaling buying momentum.

    • Previous strong bullish bars in March also showed higher closes, confirming the trend.

  • Reversal Patterns:

    • No clear bearish reversal signals yet.

    • Watch for engulfing patterns or pin bars near resistance (0.870 - 0.880).

  • Inside & Doji Bars:

    • A doji bar appeared near 0.840 in mid-March, leading to a continuation of the uptrend.

  • Volume Spikes:

    • Volume increased near resistance at 0.865, indicating a possible breakout.

    • Previous high-volume days near 0.805 and 0.830 showed strong buyer interest, confirming accumulation.

3. Support & Resistance Levels

  • Key Support Levels:

    • 0.840 - 0.845 (recent consolidation zone)

    • 0.825 - 0.830 (previous higher low and breakout level)

    • 0.800 (long-term demand zone)

  • Key Resistance Levels:

    • 0.870 - 0.880 (current breakout level)

    • 0.885 - 0.900 (next psychological resistance)

4. Breakout & Pullback Analysis

  • Breakout Strength:

    • The latest breakout above 0.865 is strong, supported by increasing volume.

  • Pullback Patterns:

    • If price pulls back to 0.850 - 0.855, it could offer a re-entry opportunity.

    • A shallow pullback with small-bodied candles would confirm trend strength.

5. Market Context & Trading Bias

  • Bias: Bullish (Trend favors buying pullbacks or breakout retests).

  • Signs of Trend Weakening: None yet, but if price fails to hold above 0.865, a correction may follow.

  • Trader Psychology: Buyers remain in control, but profit-taking could cause temporary dips.

6. Supply, Demand & Liquidity Analysis

  • Demand Zones: 0.825 - 0.830 (previous accumulation zone).

  • Liquidity Traps: Watch for a fake breakout above 0.870, followed by rejection.

7. Risk Management Strategy

  • Entry: On a pullback to 0.850 - 0.855 or a breakout above 0.870 with volume.

  • Stop-Loss: Below 0.840 (previous consolidation).

  • Profit Target: 0.880 - 0.900 (next resistance zone).

Final Thoughts

  • Trend: Strong uptrend.

  • Bias: Bullish, favoring buying pullbacks or breakout retests.

  • Key Watch Areas:

    • Breakout confirmation above 0.870

    • Pullbacks to 0.850 - 0.855 as potential entry points

    • Volume behavior at resistance (0.870 - 0.880)


Disclaimer:Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions.

Dividend:   5.75%



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